New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

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The New York Mets will be squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a Saturday showdown. SportsNet New York will showcase this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (receiving -110 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite over New York and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 7 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Runline odds stand at -210 for betting the Mets +1.5 runs and +175 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Mets have gone 28-29 SU this year and are 27-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 28-30 SU and 34-23 ATS. The team’s gained 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 28-27-2 so far in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 30-22-4.

The right-handed Jacob deGrom is getting the start for New York. deGrom (3-5, 3.71 ERA) has recorded 77 strikeouts in 63 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and 13 strikeouts over seven innings).

The Diamondbacks will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Greinke (6-2, 2.78 ERA), who has 73 strikeouts and 11 walks this season as well as a 0.88 WHIP. Greinke did not re a start against the Mets in 2018.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Arizona hitters have put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .282/.328/.495 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Eduardo Escobar and Ketel Marte have led the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Escobar is slashing .289/.349/.566 with 14 home runs, 45 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .279/.332/.531 with 13 homers, 39 RBIs and 34 runs.

For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.41 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.28 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.82, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 9.14.

Mets hitters have slashed .248/.326/.418 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso continue to lead New York’s hitters. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Alonso (.263/.338/.615) is up to 54 hits, 19 homers, 43 RBIs and 34 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.1 units and are 22-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve gone under.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .744 this season and an OPS of .733 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .783 overall and .737 against righties.
  • New York has recorded 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 17 over their last 10.