New York Knicks vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction 03/04/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The New York Knicks (13-50) will travel to the Golden 1 Center to challenge the Sacramento Kings (31-31). The Knicks opened as 12.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 231.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, March 4, 2019.

New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last contest. The Knicks (1.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 128-107, while the Kings (3.5-point favorites) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 116-109. The New York game finished 14 points over the projected point total of 221, while the Sacramento game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 239.5.

New York did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (26-34; 76.5 percent) while Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (7.1 vs. 9.4). Willie Cauley-Stein played a key role for Sacramento with 16 points and 12 rebounds. New York, meanwhile, was lifted by Mitchell Robinson, who had 16 points and 13 rebounds.

This was a highly competitive series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Kings won the last matchup 102-99. The Kings’ 10.8 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Knicks, who had a mark of 11.9. This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Knicks games, with 33 unders compared to 29 overs. New York heads into the contest with records of 13-50 straight up (SU) and 27-33-2 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of New York, just over half of Kings games have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Sacramento is 31-31 SU and 37-25 ATS.

This game should be a battle of opposite styles. Sacramento prefers an up-and-down style of play (fourth in possessions per game), while New York likes to grind-it-out (15th in possessions per game).

Knicks at Kings Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.4) while the Knicks rank 26th (5.9).
  • Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.0) while New York ranks 23rd (15.3).
  • The Kings average 51.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Knicks rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
  • New York ranks 11th in second chance points per game (13.6) while Sacramento ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.8).
  • New York ranks 19th in three pointers allowed per game (32.4) while Sacramento ranks 29th (34.5).
  • The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.4) while the Knicks rank 21st (11.5).
  • The Kings rank 14th in rebounds per game (45.4) while the Knicks rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
  • Sacramento ranks 10th in assists per game (25.6) while New York ranks last (20.0).
  • New York is 3-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Sacramento is 9-0.
  • The Knicks are 13-33 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 29-27.
  • Sacramento is 22-10 ATS at home, while New York is 16-15 ATS on the road.
  • The Knicks have 17 overs and 14 unders in 31 road games.
  • Of the Kings’ 32 home games, they have 18 unders and 14 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New York and Sacramento are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 8.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 119.2 points per game (5.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.0 points per game (6.8 above their season average).