New York Knicks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction 03/10/19

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The New York Knicks (13-53) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (31-35) go head-to-head at Target Center. The Knicks are 11.5-point underdogs and will try to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 10, 2019.

New York Knicks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

The Timberwolves come in on a high note after covering the 4.5-point spread against the Washington Wizards in their last outing, 135-130. The Knicks, on the other hand, were topped by the Sacramento Kings, 102-94, and were unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Minnesota game finished 42 points over the projected point total of 223, while the New York game went 30.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5.

Minnesota dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 11.0) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.2 (above their season average of 25.6). For those same stats, Washington was 14.0 and 21.3, respectively. New York, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.6 vs. 19.6). Minnesota was led by Karl-Anthony Towns, who had 40 points and 16 rebounds. DeAndre Jordan was a key piece for New York with 14 points and 15 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Taj Gibson led the Timberwolves to a 115-104 victory. He recorded a double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds. Minnesota covered as a 4-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 219 points, which was just under the projected point total of 219.5. The Timberwolves’ 11.4 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Knicks, who had a rate of 17.2.

Knicks games have finished under the O/U total 53.8 percent of the time. New York comes into the game with records of 13-53 straight up (SU) and 28-35-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Timberwolves are involved, as 37 of their 65 games have gone over the total. Moreover, Minnesota is 31-35 SU and 33-32 ATS.

Minnesota could own the offensive glass in this contest. The Timberwolves are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fourth in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.7 percent. Meanwhile, New York ranks 25th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.0 percent.

New York Knicks at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Knicks rank seventh (7.2).
  • Minnesota ranks first in second chance points per game (15.8) while New York ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
  • The Timberwolves rank 15th in assists per game (24.6) while the Knicks rank last (19.9).
  • Minnesota averages 5.2 blocks per game, which is ranked 14th in the NBA. New York ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
  • New York ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while Minnesota ranks 17th (13.9).
  • The Timberwolves rank ninth in points in the paint per game (50.2) while the Knicks rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.1).
  • The Timberwolves average 45.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. The Knicks rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (47.6).
  • New York ranks 22nd in three pointers attempted per game (29.3) while Minnesota ranks 25th (28.5).
  • Minnesota ranks 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while New York ranks 25th (15.2).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, New York is 3-1 and Minnesota is 10-0.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Timberwolves are 30-29 and the Knicks are 13-34.
  • Minnesota is 18-13 ATS at home, while New York is 17-17 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 18 of the Knicks’ 34 road games, while 18 of the Timberwolves’ 31 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Knicks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, New York has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Minnesota has 5 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 104.6 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
  • The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 0.2 for the season.