The New York Knicks (1-3) will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to challenge the Miami Heat (1-2). The Heat opened as 8-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018.
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last contest. The Heat (3.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 113-112, while the Knicks (11.5-point underdogs) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 124-113. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Miami game went 5 points over the projected point total of 220, while the New York game went 10 points over the projected point total of 227.
New York had a better turnover percentage (9.4 vs. 11.6) while Miami did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (19-27; 70.4 percent). Rodney McGruder played a key role for Miami with 19 points and 10 rebounds. Enes Kanter led the way for New York, contributing 14 points and 13 rebounds.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Miami figures to have a substantial edge. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Heat defense ranks sixth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.507), while the New York offense ranks 24th in effective field goal percentage (0.509). ,
The Knicks are 30-56 straight up (SU) and 46-40 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of New York games since last season with 45 unders compared to 41 overs.
The Heat, meanwhile, have records of 45-40 SU and 50-35 ATS since last season. A little over half of Miami’s games have finished under the projected point total over that same time frame.
This was a highly contested series last year. Each won two of the four games played against each other last season. The Knicks won the last matchup 122-98. The Knicks’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Heat. New York had a rate of 20.5, while Miami posted a mark of 14.3.
New York Knicks at Miami Heat Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Heat are 27th in the league with 9.6 fast break points per game while the Knicks are 29th with 8.7 fast break points per game.
- Miami ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.5) while New York ranks 29th (23.7).
- The Heat rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while the Knicks rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- Miami ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.4) while New York ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
- New York ranks 13th in rebounds per game (44.0) while Miami ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (43.5).
- The Heat rank third in assists allowed per game (21.3) while the Knicks rank 22nd (23.9).
- The Knicks average 13.3 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Heat rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.2).
- Miami ranks 19th in steals per game (7.5) while New York ranks 27th (6.8).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Miami is 27-6 and New York is 15-4.
- When reaching 100 points, the Heat are 34-23 and the Knicks are 29-33.
