New York Knicks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction

betdsiArticles, Basketball, NBA

The league’s top scoring defense will be an 8-point favorite at home in FedExForum, when the Memphis Grizzlies (12-6) battle with the New York Knicks (6-14). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 207.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.

New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

In the Knicks’ last outing, they were victorious over the New Orleans Pelicans, 114-109, despite being 7.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 112-107, and were unable to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The New York game finished 12 points under the projected point total of 235, while the Memphis game went 9 points over the projected point total of 210.

The Knicks had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 7.2 (better than their season average of 12.7) and held the Pelicans to an effective field goal percentage of 0.431 (below their season average of 0.536). Memphis, meanwhile, held Los Angeles to an effective field goal percentage of 0.468 (below their season average of 0.530). Marc Gasol played a key role for Memphis with 27 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Enes Kanter played well for New York, finishing with 17 points and 12 rebounds.

This was a highly contested series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Grizzlies won the most recent matchup 105-99. The Grizzlies’ 10.0 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Knicks, who had a rate of 13.2. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Knicks are involved, as 11 of their 20 games have finished over the total. New York has a solid record against the spread (11-8-1), despite being 6-14 straight up (SU).

Unlike New York, games including the Grizzlies have a tendency to finish under the total (55.6 percent). Additionally, Memphis is 12-6 SU and 12-6 ATS.

Gasol and Mike Conley have been playing well over the last five games for Memphis. Gasol has averaged 22 points,11.4 rebounds,1.6 blocks,1.2 steals, while Conley has put up 24 points,6.8 assists a game during that span.

The physical Memphis offense could be getting to the free throw line a lot in this contest. The Grizzlies rank sixth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.222, while New York ranks 21st in FTA rate allowed (0.213). Additionally, the Knicks rank 22nd in offensive efficiency (105.4), while the Grizzlies rank third in defensive efficiency (102.2).

Knicks vs. Grizzlies Free Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Knicks rank 15 in rebounds per game (45.35) while the Grizzlies rank 28 (39.44444444444444).
  • New York ranks fourth in second chance points per game (16.0) while Memphis ranks 28th (9.2).
  • The Grizzlies rank seventh in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Knicks rank 26th (6.3).
  • Memphis ranks seventh in assists allowed per game (23.0) while New York ranks 25th (24.9).
  • Memphis ranks 3 in steals per game (9.166666666666666) while New York ranks 16 (7.6).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while the Knicks rank 25th (51.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank 5 in points off turnovers per game (19.944444444444443) while the Knicks rank 20 (16.4).
  • New York ranks 21 in three pointers attempted per game (29.2) while Memphis ranks 25 (27.555555555555557).
  • New York ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.1) while Memphis ranks 25th (15.6).
  • New York is 1-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Memphis is 6-2.
  • The Knicks are 6-11 when they score over 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 9-3.
  • New York is 6-5 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 7-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Knicks’ 11 road games, while 4 of the Grizzlies’ 8 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New York and Memphis are both 4-1 ATS.
  • The Knicks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Grizzlies have 3 overs and 2 unders,
  • The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 5.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.8 points per game (2.0 below their season average).