New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction 01/07/19

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The New York Knicks (10-29), 11.5-point underdogs, will travel to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to meet the Portland Trail Blazers (23-17). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220.5 points and it starts at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, January 7, 2019.

New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Trail Blazers (2-point favorites) defeated the Houston Rockets 110-101, while the Knicks (5.5-point underdog) beat the Los Angeles Lakers 119-112. The Portland game finished 8 points under the projected point total of 219, while the New York game went 8.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5.

New York played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 4.9 (better than their season average of 11.7) and a free throw rate of 0.343 (above their season average of 0.200). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 13.0 and 0.153, respectively. The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 8.1 (better than their season average of 12.6) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 36.2 (above their season average of 24.9). Portland’s Jusuf Nurkic played well, contributing 25 points and 15 rebounds. New York, meanwhile, was led by Enes Kanter, who put up 16 points and 15 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Damian Lillard led the Trail Blazers to a 118-114 win. He produced 29 points, eight assists and six rebounds. Portland was unable to cover as a 7.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 232 points, which was over the projected point total of 220.5. The Trail Blazers’ 9.7 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Knicks, who had a rate of 13.9.

Of the Knicks’ 39 games, 22 have gone over the total. New York holds records of 10-29 straight up (SU) and 18-20-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike New York, Trail Blazers games have a tendency to go under the total (57.5 percent). Moreover, Portland owns records of 23-17 SU and 20-20 ATS.

The Knicks’ Noah Vonleh has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 12 rebounds,11.6 points,1.4 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Nurkic has averaged 22 points,12.0 rebounds,4.4 assists,2.0 steals,1.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Trail Blazers.

The offensive glass could be a huge edge for Portland in this battle. The Trail Blazers rank sixth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), while New York ranks 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.8 percent).

New York Knicks vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Trail Blazers average 30.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 18th in the league. The Knicks rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.5).
  • Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (48.5) while New York ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.7).
  • The Trail Blazers average 14.4 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Knicks rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Portland averages 4.8 blocks per game, which ranks 16th in the league. New York ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
  • New York ranks 23rd in steals per game (7.1) while Portland ranks 28th (6.6).
  • The Trail Blazers rank eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (46.3) while the Knicks rank 29th (53.1).
  • The Trail Blazers rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Knicks rank 14th (16.6).
  • Portland ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while New York ranks 29th (26.1).
  • Portland is 7-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while New York is 2-0.
  • The Trail Blazers are 22-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Knicks are 10-21.
  • New York is 12-11 ATS on the road, while Portland is 13-9 ATS at home.
  • The Knicks have 15 overs and 8 unders in 23 road games.
  • The Trail Blazers have 14 unders and 8 overs in 22 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Trail Blazers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Portland has 5 unders, while New York has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (2.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (4.2 below their season average).
  • The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.4, up from 7.9 for the season.