New York Jets vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Week 5 Free Betting Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Football, NFL

The New York Jets (+14) will meet the Philadelphia Eagles (-14) at Lincoln Financial Field. Fans can catch the action live on CBS and this early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Jets

In this Sunday game, Philadelphia is projected as the big favorite and is currently giving up 14 points. The Jets are also receiving +550 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -925. This matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points.

The Jets are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.4 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-2.

The Eagles have lost 0.5 units this season. The team is 1-3 ATS and the over’s hit in three of its games.

The Jets have gone 0-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Eagles are 2-2 SU.

The Jets fell to New England 30-14 in a Week 3 matchup where Luke Falk completed just 12-of-22 passes for 98 yards and one interception. Le’Veon Bell (just 35 yards on 18 rushes) led the ground attack in the loss while Bell (four receptions, 28 yards) and Robby Anderson (three catches, 11 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Philadelphia just earned a 34-27 win over Green Bay in Week 4. The Eagles defensive secondary allowed the Packers to air it out for 422 yards and two touchdowns. Davante Adams had a good showing in the loss, recording 180 yards on 10 catches for Green Bay. For Philadelphia, Carson Wentz completed 16-of-27 passes for 160 yards and three touchdowns. Jordan Howard (87 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) and Miles Sanders (72 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the win as Zach Ertz (seven receptions, 65 yards) and Alshon Jeffery (three catches, 38 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

New York’s run the ball on 40.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Philadelphia has a rush percentage of 43.4 percent. The Jets have rushed for 65.7 yards per game and have yet to record a touchdown via handoffs this year. The Eagles are totaling 118.8 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

It appears that the Eagles should own an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their running backs has generated 4.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.2 YPC to opponents. The Jets have registered 3.0 yards per carry while allowing 3.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Jets offense has logged 158 yards per contest through the air overall and has only one passing score so far. The Eagles have produced 246.8 pass yards per game and have nine total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, New York appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 88.7 rush yards and 299.7 pass yards per game. The Philadelphia defense has allowed 330.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 62.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jets are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.23 to opponents, while the Eagles have given up a 7.4 ANY/A.

Offensively, Falk is up to 98 passing yards this season, and has connected on 12-of-22 attempts with zero passing scores and one interception. He’s got a 0.89 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.83 over the past two games.

Le’Veon Bell, Robby Anderson and Jamison Crowder have combined to account for 349 total yards over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Carson Wentz has connected on 69-of-109 passes for 704 yards, seven TDs and two INTs. Wentz’s ANY/A sits at 6.51 for the year and 7.67 over his last two games.

We’re expecting the Eagles to control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Zach Ertz (191 receiving yards this season) has contributed lately, but Miles Sanders (125 rush yards, 11 receiving yards) and Jordan Howard (149 rush yards, two rush TDs, one receiving TD) have been significant factors in the Philadelphia offense.

New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Eagles, ATS Winner: Eagles, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • New York, as a team, has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its past two outings.
  • Philadelphia has averaged 4.8 YPC over its last two.
  • The Philadelphia offense has lost three fumbles this season while New York has lost two.
  • The Jets offense has recorded zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Eagles have put up four such plays.
  • The New York defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Philadelphia has given up four such plays.
  • The New York offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Philadelphia has created one such runs.
  • Both teams have allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more and six running plays of 10+ yards.
  • The New York defense has five sacks on the year while Philadelphia has three.