New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals – Week 13 Free Betting Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Football, NFL

The New York Jets (-4.5) are set to take on the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.

Betting Preview: New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals

In this Sunday AFC matchup, New York is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4.5 points. The Jets are also receiving -180 moneyline odds while the Bengals are +160. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 39.5 points, and if one squad catches a lucky break early, it will probably create a decent in-game betting opportunity.

The line initially opened at 3.5 and the game’s total was placed originally at 41, so it appears that the sharp action is siding with both the Jets and the under.

The Jets are 5-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.0 unit so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 6-5.

The lackluster Bengals have lost 11.6 units this season. The team is 4-6-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-7-1.

The Jets have gone 4-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bengals are 0-11 SU.

The Jets are on the upswing after a 34-3 victory over Oakland last week. The Jets defense did its part in the win, holding the Raiders to just 147 passing yards and 68 rushing yards. On the offense, Sam Darnold completed 20-of-29 passes for 315 yards and two touchdowns. Le’Veon Bell (49 yards on 12 rush attempts) led the ground attack while Bell (five receptions, 59 yards) and Robby Anderson (four catches, 86 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Cincinnati just dropped a 16-10 game to Pittsburgh in Week 12. Ryan Finley completed 12-of-26 passes for 192 yards and one touchdown. Joe Mixon (79 rushing yards on 18 attempts) led the running game as Tyler Boyd (five receptions, 101 yards, one TD) and Giovani Bernard (three catches, 31 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

New York has run the ball on 42.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cincinnati has an overall rush percentage of 35.4 percent. The Jets have rushed for 73.5 yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Bengals are totaling 81.1 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

The Jets offense has averaged 212.2 yards through the air overall and has 13 passing scores so far. The Bengals have recorded 247.8 pass yards per contest and have 11 total pass TDs.

Defensively, New York has allowed 78.1 rush yards and 259.2 pass yards per game. The Cincinnati D has given up 260.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 166.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jets are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.23 to opponents, while the Bengals have given up a whopping 8.52 ANY/A.

Offensively, Darnold has put up 1,622 passing yards this year, and has connected on 64 percent of his 233 attempts with nine passing scores and nine interceptions. Darnold’s got a 4.98 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 10.85 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from New York in this one. As a group, Le’Veon Bell, Ryan Griffin and Jamison Crowder have combined for 416 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

For the home team, Ryan Finley has connected on 28-of-56 passes for 359 yards, two TDs and one INT. Finley’s ANY/A stands at 4.89 for the season and 3.12 over his past two outings.

We’re thinking the Bengals will control the game’s clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with WR Tyler Boyd (699 receiving yards, two receiving TDs this season), Joe Mixon (513 rush yards, three receiving TDs) and Giovani Bernard (87 rush yards, 157 receiving yards) have really been key factors in the Cincinnati offense.

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals Free Prediction

SU Winner: Jets, ATS Winner: Bengals, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • Cincinnati has lost 12 fumbles this season while New York has let seven get away.
  • The New York D has sacked opposing QBs 26 times this season. Cincinnati has recorded just 16 sacks.
  • As a team, New York has produced 3.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.2 over its last two.
  • Cincinnati has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.0 over its past two.