New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars: Free Week 8 Betting Pick

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The New York Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars are ready to face off on the grass of EverBank Field. CBS will broadcast the action and the game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets

In this Sunday AFC game, Jacksonville is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. The Jets are also receiving +160 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are -180. Some good live betting scenarios may present themselves during this game, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 41 points.

The sharp action is siding with the Jets, as the line opened at -6. The game’s O/U has not changed after being initially established at 41.

The Jets are down 1.1 units so far and 2-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3.

The Jaguars have lost 1.1 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and owns an even O/U record of 3-3-1.

The Jets are 1-5 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Jaguars are 3-4 SU.

The Jets are hoping to get back on track after a 33-0 shutout to New England last week. The passing attack could’ve been better as Sam Darnold completed only 11 passes on 32 attempts for 86 yards and four interceptions. Le’Veon Bell (70 yards on 15 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack in the loss. Jamison Crowder (four receptions, 26 yards) and Demaryius Thomas (three catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Jacksonville is coming off of a 27-17 win over Cincinnati in Week 7. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Bengals to air it out for 276 yards. Alex Erickson was a bright spot in the loss for Cincinnati, posting 137 yards on eight catches. For Jacksonville, Gardner Minshew II completed 15-of-32 passes for 255 yards and one touchdown. Leonard Fournette (131 yards on 29 rush attempts) led the ground game in the win while Dede Westbrook (six receptions, 103 yards) and Chris Conley (three catches, 83 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

New York has run the ball on 40.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Jacksonville has an overall rush percentage of 45.3 percent. The Jets have rushed for 66.8 yards/game and have two scores via handoffs this year. The Jags are totaling 140.1 rush yards per game and have only one rushing TD.

It seems like the Jags should hold an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has given up only 16 sacks while their D-line has registered 21 sacks. The Jets O-line has given up 26 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just seven occasions.

The Jets offense has averaged 169.7 yards in the air overall and has three passing scores so far. The Jags have produced 253.1 pass yards per game and have 11 total pass TD.

On the defensive side of the ball, New York has allowed 92.2 rush yards and 269.2 pass yards per game. The Jacksonville defense has allowed 263 yards per game to opposing passers and 117.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Jets have given up an ANY/A of 6.11 to opposing QBs, while the Jags are allowing an ANY/A of 6.28.

Offensively, Darnold is up to 261 passing yards this year. He’s completed 39-of-73 attempts with one passing scores and four interceptions. He has a 0.87 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.19 over the past two games.

For the home team, Gardner Minshew II has managed to complete 125-of-197 passes for 1,534 yards, 10 TDs and one INT. Minshew II’s ANY/A sits at 7.57 for the season and 5.69 across his past two games.

When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Jacksonville emerged victorious by a score of 31-12.

New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Jets, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for New York’s last game was set at 43.5. The under cashed in the team’s 33-0 defeat to New England.
  • New York, as a team, has produced 3.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.
  • Jacksonville has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its past two.
  • Both teams have lost five fumbles this year.
  • Over its last three matchups, New York is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Jacksonville’s previous outing was set at 44. The O/U pushed in the 27-17 win over Cincinnati.
  • Over its last three games, Jacksonville is 1-2 ATS.
  • The Jets offense has recorded one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Jaguars have put up two such plays.
  • The New York defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Jacksonville has given up seven such plays.
  • The New York offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Jacksonville has created seven such runs.
  • The Jets defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Jaguars have given up four such runs.
  • The Jacksonville defense has recorded three times as many sacks as New York this year (21 to seven).