New York Giants at New England Patriots – Week 6 Free Betting Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Football, NFL

The New York Giants and New England Patriots will collide on the turf at Gillette Stadium. The Thursday Night Football matchup kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.

Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots

New England has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 15 points to New York. If the Giants get out in front early it’ll create a solid in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.

The Giants are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.7 units this season. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2.

The Patriots have gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors in 2019. They’re 2-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-3.

The perfect Giants are 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Patriots are 5-0 SU.

The G-Men dropped one to Minnesota 28-10 in a Week 5 thumping where the defense allowed the Vikings to pass for 306 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 211 yards. Dalvin Cook had a good day for the Vikings in that one with 132 rushing yards on 21 attempts, along with 86 yards on six catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Daniel Jones completed just 21-of-38 passes for 182 yards, along with a score and a pick. Jon Hilliman (20 yards on nine rush attempts) led the running attack in the loss. Evan Engram (six receptions, 42 yards) and Sterling Shepard (five catches, 49 yards) handled the receiving duties.

New England is coming off of a 33-7 win over Washington in Week 5. The defensive unit let the Redskins run for 145 yards on 20 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Steven Sims Jr. had a productive showing in the loss, recording 65 rushing yards and a score on one attempt for Washington. For New England, Tom Brady completed 28-of-42 passes for 348 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Sony Michel (91 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the win while Julian Edelman (eight receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and White (six catches, 46 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

New York’s run the ball on 36.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New England has an overall rush percentage of 42.3 percent. The Giants have run for 116 yards per game and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Pats are putting up 99 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

The G-Men offense has logged 263.2 yards per game through the air overall and has six passing TDs so far. The Pats have produced 291 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass scores.

New York has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 130 yards and pass for 297.6 yards per game. The New England defense has allowed 191.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 78.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Pats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 1.51 to opponents, while the Giants have given up an 8.22 ANY/A.

Brady likely has the advantage over Jones in this matchup. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.79 for the season and 5.08 over his last two outings while Jones’ ANY/A is 5.64 and 3.79 over his last two.

New York Giants vs. New England Patriots Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: , ATS Winner: Giants, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • As a team, New York has produced 3.9 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.0 over its last two.
  • New England has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.1 over its past two.
  • The New England offense has lost two fumbles this season while New York has lost six.
  • Both teams have produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards and seven pass plays of 30+ yards.
  • The New York defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while New England has given up one such play.
  • The New York offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New England has created one such runs.
  • The Giants defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Patriots have given up two such runs.
  • The New England defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 24 times this season. New York has produced just 13 sacks.