New York Giants at Chicago Bears: Free Week 12 Betting Prediction

Posts AdminArticles, Football, NFL

The New York Giants (+7) are making a trip west to face the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. This early afternoon game gets underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FOX.

Betting Preview: New York Giants at Chicago Bears

In this Sunday NFC matchup, Chicago is getting picked as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. The Giants are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Bears are -260. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 40.5 points, and if one side finds paydirt early, it’ll likely create a nice in-game betting opportunity.

Odds have shifted slightly from where they were initially set. The opening line was -7 and the game’s total was set originally at 41.

The Giants are 3-7 against the spread (ATS) and are down 5.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-4.

The Bears have lost 5.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-7 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-7.

The Giants have gone 2-8 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bears are 4-6 SU.

When these two franchises faced each other a year ago, New York knocked off New York by a field goal 30-27.

The G-Men dropped one to the Jets 34-27 in a Week 10 game where the defensive unit did its part in the loss, limiting the Jets to just 230 passing yards and 76 rushing yards. Demaryius Thomas had a good day for the opposition in that one with 84 yards on six catches. On the offensive side, Daniel Jones completed 26-of-40 passes for 308 yards and four touchdowns. The Giants produced a grand total of 23 rushing yards as a team in the defeat.

In Week 11, the Rams knocked off this Chicago crew by a score of 17-7. The Bears defense allowed the Rams to run for 110 yards on 34 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Todd Gurley II put up a productive outing in the win for Los Angeles, recording 97 rushing yards and a score on 25 attempts, along with 36 yards on three catches. For Chicago, Mitchell Trubisky completed 24-of-43 passes for 190 yards, one touchdown and one interception. David Montgomery (31 rushing yards on 14 attempts) handled the running game as Taylor Gabriel (seven receptions, 57 yards) and Anthony Miller (six catches, 54 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

New York has run the ball on 35.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Chicago has an overall rush percentage of 39.8 percent. The Giants have rushed for 94.2 yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Bears are putting up 79.9 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

The G-Men offensive scheme has averaged 254 yards in the air overall and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Bears have produced 201.5 pass yards per game and have 12 total pass scores.

New York has let opponents rush for an average of 122.7 yards and pass for 275.5 yards per game. The Chicago D has allowed 245.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.54 to opposing QBs, while the Giants have allowed a 7.63 ANY/A.

Trubisky has managed to complete 160-of-259 passes for 1,407 yards, six TDs and four INTs. Trubisky’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 4.46 for the season and 5.11 across his past two games. In the other huddle, Jones has put up 1,774 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 161-of-256 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jones has a 5.41 ANY/A, including 5.26 over the last two outings.

New York Giants at Chicago Bears Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Bears, ATS Winner: Bears, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Chicago defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 25 times this season. New York has registered 24 sacks.
  • The Chicago offense has lost four fumbles in 2019 while the New York offense has lost 14.
  • The Giants offense has created six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bears have accounted for one such play.
  • The New York defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Chicago has given up four such plays.
  • The New York offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Chicago has created three such runs.
  • The Giants defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bears have given up two such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Chicago’s last outing was 40. The under cashed in the 17-7 defeat to the Rams.
  • In its last three matchups, Chicago is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • Over its last three matches, New York is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for New York’s previous game was 43. The over cashed in the team’s 34-27 loss to the Jets.
  • New York has rushed for 3.2 yards per attempt across its past three games and 3.2 over its last two.
  • Chicago has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.2 over its last two.