New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz Free Prediction 03/04/19

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A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Utah Jazz (36-26), who will be 9-point favorites when they clash with the New Orleans Pelicans (29-36) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230.5 points and it starts at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, March 4, 2019.

New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz Betting Odds

The Pelicans come in on a high note after beating the Denver Nuggets in their last contest, 120-112, as 13.5-point underdogs. The Jazz, meanwhile, defeated the Milwaukee Bucks,115-111, but were not able to cover as 5-point favorites. The New Orleans game went 6 points under the projected point total of 238, while the Utah game went 3 points over the projected point total of 223.

The Pelicans held the Nuggets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.2 (below their season average of 27.6) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.473 (below their season average of 0.531). Meanwhile, Utah’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Milwaukee. The Jazz had a rate of 0.521 (below their season average of 0.530), while the Bucks posted a mark of 0.464 (below their season average of 0.553). Utah’s Donovan Mitchell had a good outing, contributing 46 points and six assists. Julius Randle, meanwhile played a pivotal role for New Orleans with 28 points and 10 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Ricky Rubio led the Jazz to a 132-111 victory. He notched a double-double with 28 points and 12 assists. Utah covered as a 6-point favorite and the two teams combined for 243 points, which was well over the projected point total of 220. Utah made good use of their 37 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 30 of them (81.1 percent). New Orleans, on the other hand, was 22-29 (75.9 percent).

Of the Pelicans’ 65 games, 34 have finished over the O/U total. New Orleans holds records of 29-36 straight up (SU) and 33-31-1 against the spread (ATS).

Just over half of Jazz games have also finished over the O/U total. Further, Utah is 36-26 SU and 32-28-2 ATS.

The Pelicans’ Elfrid Payton has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 11 points,9.2 assists,5.6 rebounds,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Mitchell has averaged 29 points,6.2 rebounds,4.4 assists during that same time frame for the Jazz.

It will be a showdown of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Pelicans (ranked fifth in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Jazz (16th in possessions per game).

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank third in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while the Pelicans rank 14th (44.7).
  • Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (21.3) while New Orleans ranks 28th (26.1).
  • The Pelicans rank first in points in the paint per game (58.7) while the Jazz rank 18th (48.5).
  • Utah ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while New Orleans ranks 18th (13.6).
  • Utah ranks third in blocks per game (5.8) while New Orleans ranks 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
  • The Jazz rank first in three pointers allowed per game (28.3) while the Pelicans rank 23rd (33.2).
  • The Jazz rank 11th in steals per game (8.3) while the Pelicans rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
  • Utah ranks 16th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while New Orleans ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
  • Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.1) while New Orleans ranks 23rd (14.8).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Utah is 15-3 and New Orleans is 5-2.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Jazz are 34-15 and the Pelicans are 29-30.
  • New Orleans is 17-17-1 ATS on the road, while Utah is 16-14-1 ATS at home.
  • The Pelicans have 20 overs and 15 unders in 35 road games.
  • The Jazz have 16 overs and 15 unders in 31 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New Orleans and Utah have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 3-2.
  • During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 121.4 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
  • The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 3.5 for the season.