A six-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Los Angeles Clippers (11-5), who will be 12-point favorites when they take on the New Orleans Pelicans (6-10) at Staples Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 234 points and it will air on FSN Prime Ticket at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 24, 2019.
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last outing. The Clippers (5-point favorites) defeated the Houston Rockets, 122-119, while the Pelicans (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 128-120. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game finished 14 points over the projected point total of 227, while the New Orleans game finished 13.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.
The Clippers had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.592 (above their season average of 0.518) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.8 vs. 22.9). New Orleans, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 8.3 (better than their season average of 14.1). Los Angeles received a boost from Kawhi Leonard, who contributed 24 points and six rebounds. Jrue Holiday, meanwhile was a key piece for New Orleans with 28 points and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Derrick Favors led the Pelicans to a 132-127 victory. He recorded a double-double with 20 points and 20 rebounds. New Orleans covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined for 259 points, which was well over the projected point total of 233.5. New Orleans out-rebounded Los Angeles. The Pelicans had more offensive rebounds (18 vs. six), defensive rebounds (33 vs. 31) and total rebounds (51 vs. 37).
Pelicans games have a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total (53.3 percent). New Orleans holds records of 6-10 straight up (SU) and 7-8 against the spread (ATS).
Clippers games tend to go under the total (62.5 percent). Los Angeles has a respectable 11-5 SU record, but they are just 7-8-1 ATS.
The Pelicans’ Holiday has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 23 points,7.8 assists,2.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Paul George has averaged 28 points,6.3 rebounds,4.8 assists during that same time frame for the Clippers.
It could be a sloppy game for the Los Angeles offense. Los Angeles ranks 24th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of New Orleans forces the eighth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.1 percent).
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans rank sixth in steals per game (8.7) while the Clippers rank 19th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- Los Angeles ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while New Orleans ranks 28th (52.3).
- The Clippers rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while the Pelicans rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.4).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (39.1) while Los Angeles ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.4).
- Los Angeles ranks second in rebounds per game (48.4) while New Orleans ranks 18th (45.3).
- The Clippers rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Pelicans rank 27th (14.8).
- The Clippers rank third in assists allowed per game (21.3) while the Pelicans rank 22nd (25.6).
- New Orleans ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Los Angeles ranks 14th (5.1).
- Los Angeles ranks fourth in fast break points per game (15.8) while New Orleans ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (18.1).
- Los Angeles is 5-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Pelicans are 6-9 and the Clippers are 9-3.
- New Orleans is 3-4 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 6-4-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 8 of the Clippers’ 11 home games, while 4 of the Pelicans’ 7 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Clippers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, New Orleans has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Los Angeles has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 3.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 119.2 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
