New Orleans Pelicans vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Prediction 02/06/19

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The New Orleans Pelicans (23-31) visit United Center to challenge the Chicago Bulls (12-41). The Bulls are 1-point favorites and will attempt to snap an eight-game home losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 6, 2019.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Odds

Both teams fell in their last matchup. The Pelicans (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 109-107, while the Bulls (6.5-point underdogs) fell to the Charlotte Hornets, 125-118. The New Orleans game finished 3 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Chicago game finished 27 points over the projected point total of 216.

New Orleans held Indiana to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.0 (below their season average of 22.4) while Chicago had a better offensive rebounding percentage (22.9 vs. 22.5). Chicago was led by Bobby Portis, who had 33 points and nine rebounds. Jahlil Okafor, meanwhile played a key role for New Orleans with 25 points and 13 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Anthony Davis led the Pelicans to a 107-98 victory. He recorded a double-double with 32 points and 15 rebounds. The two teams combined for 205 points, which was well under the projected point total of 227.5, and New Orleans was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite. New Orleans had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.0 vs. 13.7). Chicago, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 12.9).

Just over half of the Pelicans’ games have finished over the total. New Orleans comes into the game with records of 23-31 straight up (SU) and 26-27-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Bulls are involved, as 60.4 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total. Further, Chicago is 12-41 SU and 23-28-2 ATS.

The Pelicans’ Okafor has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 18 points,10.0 rebounds,1.8 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Lauri Markkanen has averaged 18 points,12.2 rebounds during that same time frame for the Bulls.

The high-powered offense of New Orleans (eighth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 110.7) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Chicago (23rd in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 109.9). The Pelicans figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls Free Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bulls rank 21st in fast break points per game (11.4) while the Pelicans rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
  • New Orleans ranks sixth in second chance points per game (14.6) while Chicago ranks 29th (9.8).
  • The Pelicans rank sixth in blocks per game (5.6) while the Bulls rank 26th (4.5).
  • New Orleans ranks first in points in the paint per game (58.2) while Chicago ranks 18th (47.2).
  • Chicago is 25th in the NBA with 33.1 three pointers allowed per game while New Orleans is 28th with 33.6 three pointers allowed per game.
  • The Pelicans rank fourth in assists per game (26.8) while the Bulls rank 27th (21.5).
  • The Bulls rank 15th in steals per game (7.7) while the Pelicans rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • Chicago ranks 22nd in points off turnovers per game (15.2) while New Orleans ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • New Orleans averages 47.0 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Chicago ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.2).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Chicago is 8-5 and New Orleans is 5-1.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Bulls are 8-24 and the Pelicans are 23-27.
  • New Orleans is 13-15-1 ATS on the road, while Chicago is 10-15 ATS at home.
  • Of the Pelicans’ 29 road games, they have 16 overs and 13 unders.
  • The Bulls have 17 unders and 8 overs in 25 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New Orleans and Chicago have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 2-3.
  • The Pelicans have been outscored by an average of 4.0 points in their last five games. On the season, New Orleans has defeated opponents by an average of 1.2 points.
  • During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 108.4 points per game (6.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (1.9 below their season average).