The Sacramento Kings (39-41), 9-point favorites, welcome the New Orleans Pelicans (32-48) to Golden 1 Center to start Western Conference play. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 7, 2019.
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
Both teams lost in their last game. The Pelicans (2.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Phoenix Suns, 133-126, while the Kings (10-point underdogs) fell to the Utah Jazz, 119-98. The New Orleans game went 30.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Sacramento game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 222.
New Orleans had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.3 (above their season average of 24.1) while Sacramento held Utah to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 22.8). Sacramento received a boost from Marvin Bagley III, who contributed 13 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Julius Randle played a pivotal role for New Orleans with 31 points and 14 rebounds.
In the season series between these two teams, the Pelicans lead two games to one. The two teams combined to score 239 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 234.5. New Orleans won 121-118, covering as a 6.5-point underdog. The Pelicans’ 18.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Kings, who had a mark of 17.8. Randle put up a double-double in the victory with 34 points and 11 rebounds.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Pelicans games, with 43 overs compared to 36 unders. New Orleans comes into the contest with records of 32-48 straight up (SU) and 36-43-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to New Orleans, Kings games have gone under the total 51.2 percent of the time. Additionally, Sacramento owns records of 39-41 SU and 45-34-1 ATS.
Sacramento should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Sacramento ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.4 percent), while New Orleans forces the eighth-fewest turnovers (12.5 percent).
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans average 29.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. The Kings rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.6).
- New Orleans averages 47.3 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Sacramento ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
- The Kings rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while the Pelicans rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).
- New Orleans averages 14.4 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Sacramento ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
- New Orleans averages 27.0 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
- The Pelicans average 58.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. The Kings rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.2).
- The Kings rank 10th in steals per game (8.3) while the Pelicans rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
- New Orleans averages 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.0) while New Orleans ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.6).
- New Orleans is 5-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-0.
- The Pelicans are 32-40 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 37-36.
- Sacramento is 25-14-1 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 19-20-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 23 of the Kings’ 40 home games, while 23 of the Pelicans’ 40 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over, while New Orleans has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (0.8 above their season average).
- The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 1.3 for the season.
