The New Mexico State Aggies (1-1) will be at home in Pan American Center when they square off against the New Mexico Lobos (2-0). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 17, 2017, and it can be seen on ESPN Full Court.
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies ATS Preview
The Lobos won big over the Omaha Mavericks in their last contest, 103-71. Troy Simons was the games leading scorer with 24 points on 8-for-16 shooting. New Mexico dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.4 and a turnover percentage of 17.1. For those same stats, Omaha had marks of 23.7 and 27.5, respectively.
In the Aggies last matchup, they were dismantled by the No. 21 Saint Marys Gaels, 92-74. With 11 points and 10 rebounds, New Mexico States Jemerrio Jones played well. Saint Marys 5.3 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over New Mexico State, who had a rate of 11.5.
The prolific offense of New Mexico State will clash against the mid-tier defense of New Mexico. Since last season, the Aggies rank 31st in offensive efficiency, while the Lobos are 141st in defensive efficiency. The Aggies should have the advantage on that end of the court.
The Lobos have had a respectable 19-14 straight up (SU) record since last season, but have struggled covering the spread (12-17 against the spread (ATS)). Vegas has had a tendency to place the total high when New Mexico is involved since last season as 62.1 percent of their games have gone under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, the Aggies, are 29-6 SU and 3-3 ATS since last season. New Mexico States games have had no tendency in regards to the O/U total over that same stretch as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Each team won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last contest, the Aggies won 84-71. The Aggies played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.412 and a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 36.7. For those same stats, the Lobos were 0.259 and 26.3, respectively.
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies ATS Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – New Mexico, ATS Winner – New Mexico, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- The Aggies rank 18th in rebounds per game (39.6) while the Lobos rank 187th (35.3).
- New Mexico State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (1.9) while New Mexico ranks 105th (3.2).
- New Mexico State ranks 31st in steals allowed per game (5.1) while New Mexico ranks 264th (7.7).
- The Aggies rank 49th in three pointers allowed per game (19.0) while the Lobos rank 252nd (23.0).
- New Mexico State ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (10.7) while New Mexico ranks 216th (14.1).