Nevada Wolf Pack at San Diego State Aztecs ATS Prediction 01/18/20

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The seventh-ranked San Diego State Aztecs (18-0, 7-0 MWC) try to remain undefeated when they meet the Nevada Wolf Pack (11-7, 4-2 MWC) at Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl. The game will air on CBS Sports Network at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 18, 2020.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs ATS Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Aztecs were victorious over the Fresno State Bulldogs 64-55, while the Wolf Pack won a close one over the Wyoming Cowboys 68-67.

Nevada won the rebounding battle. The Wolf Pack had more offensive rebounds (10 vs. five), defensive rebounds (28 vs. 25) and total rebounds (38 vs. 30). The Aztecs, on the other hand, made 13 of their 14 free throws (92.9 percent) and held the Bulldogs to an effective field goal percentage of 0.409 (below their season average of 0.497). San Diego State received a boost from Malachi Flynn, who contributed 22 points and five rebounds. Jalen Harris, meanwhile fueled Nevada with 20 points and six rebounds.

The Aztecs captured this series last year, securing victories in two out of three contests. In the last game, San Diego State won 65-56. San Diego State’s 0.241 free throw rate was their largest strength over Nevada, who had a mark of 0.103. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, this will be a matchup of two heavyweights. The upper-echelon San Diego State offense ranks 44th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.537, while the top-notch Nevada defense is ranked 58th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.456). Also, the Wolf Pack commit the 53rd-fewest errors in the NCAA (turnover percentage of 17.1 percent), while the disruptive defense of the Aztecs causes the 54th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.8 percent).

Nevada Wolf Pack at San Diego State Aztecs ATS Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • San Diego State ranks 30th in rebounds allowed per game (31.4) while Nevada ranks 190th (36.5).
  • The Wolf Pack are sixth in the nation with 4.4 steals allowed per game while the Aztecs are 31st with 5.3 steals allowed per game.
  • San Diego State is 10th in the NCAA with 2.2 blocks allowed per game while Nevada is 20th with 2.4 blocks allowed per game.
  • The Aztecs rank 111th in three pointers allowed per game (21.2) while the Wolf Pack rank 227th (24.8).
  • San Diego State ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (10.2) while Nevada ranks 88th (11.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (3.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.8 points per game (2.3 below their season average).
  • The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.0, down from 18.3 for the season.