Two schools that prefer to run the football, Wildcats (+2.5) are gearing up to welcome their in-conference rival No. 25 TCU Horned Frogs (-2.5) to Kansas State. This crucial daytime game is scheduled to kick off at 2:30 p.m. ET and FSN will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Kansas State is a live dog and is currently getting 2.5 points in this Big 12 game. The Horned Frogs are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +120. It appears that there might be some good in-game betting scenarios during the matchup, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 46 points.
The game’s total has moved down after opening at 46.5. The original spread (2.5) has yet to change.
The Horned Frogs are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.3 units so far. The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 3-2.
The Wildcats are up 0.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-3.
The Horned Frogs have gone 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Wildcats are 3-2 SU overall and are also 0-2 SU in conference play.
The Horned Frogs came up short to Iowa State 49-24 in a thumping where the passing attack was sharp, as the Horned Frogs completed 21-of-30 passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns. Max Duggan went 17-for-25 for 219 yards and two touchdowns while Alex Delton completed four-of-five for two yards. Darius Anderson (49 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Duggan (34 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack. Sewo Olonilua (five receptions, 27 yards) and Jalen Reagor (four catches, 69 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
A couple of weeks ago, Baylor took care of this Kansas State crew by a score of 31-12. Skylar Thompson completed 22-of-34 passes for 218 yards, one touchdown and one interception. James Gilbert (94 yards on 18 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Thompson (six yards on 11 carries) led the running game as Phillip Brooks (seven receptions, 69 yards) and Dalton Schoen (six catches, 69 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
TCU has run the ball on 58.7 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 62.3 percent across possessions in conference play. Kansas State has a run percentage of 65.8 percent, and has rushed the ball 55.8 percent of the time against Big 12 opponents. The Horned Frogs have rushed for 241.8 yards/game (including 213.5 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Wildcats are logging 217.8 rush yards per game (124.5 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers are any indication, then it appears the Horned Frogs should own the edge in terms of RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 5.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.1 to opponents. The Wildcats have ran for 4.9 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.8 to opponents.
The Horned Frogs offensive scheme has averaged 214.8 yards in the air overall (263.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Wildcats have recorded 171.8 pass yards per outing (168 in the Big 12) and have five total pass scores.
TCU has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101.2 yards and pass for 182.8 yards per game. The Kansas State defense has given up 155.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 188.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wildcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.49 to opponents, while the Horned Frogs have given up a 4.99 ANY/A.
Offensively, Duggan has put up 642 passing yards on the year, and has completed 55 percent of his 102 attempts with seven passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Duggan has a 6.88 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.67 over the past two games.
On the other sideline, Skylar Thompson has managed to complete 58-of-87 passes for 704 yards, five TDs and one INT. Thompson’s ANY/A stands at 7.61 for the season and 4.47 over his past two outings.
When these two squads faced each other a year ago, TCU earned the win 14-13.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Kansas State, ATS Winner: Kansas State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for TCU’s last game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 49-24 loss to Iowa State.
- TCU, as a team, has rushed for 4.9 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 4.5 over its last two.
- Kansas State has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three games and only 3.5 over its past two.
- The Kansas State offense has lost six fumbles this season while TCU has lost seven.
- Over its last three contests, TCU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Kansas State’s last matchup was set at 48.5. The under cashed in the 31-12 defeat to Baylor.
- Over its last three contests, Kansas State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Horned Frogs offense has registered three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Wildcats have put up zero such plays.
- The TCU defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kansas State has given up zero such plays.
- The TCU offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Kansas State has created six such runs.
- The Horned Frogs defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Wildcats have given up 11 such runs.
- The TCU D has nine sacks on the year while Kansas State has six.
