The Georgia State Panthers (+11) are heading north to visit the Western Michigan Broncos at Waldo Stadium. ESPN+ will televise the action and the game is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET. When these two teams met a year ago, Western Michigan got the victory 34-15.
Betting Preview: Georgia State Panthers at Western Michigan Broncos
Georgia State is a live dog and is currently getting 11 points in this matchup. The Panthers are also receiving +315 moneyline odds while the Broncos are -425. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 65 points. If Western Michigan falls behind early, it will likely generate a worthy betting opportunity in-game.
The sharp action is siding with the Panthers. The opening line was -12 and the game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 65.
The Panthers have gained 1.0 unit so far and are 1-0-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 2-0.
The Broncos have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-1.
The Panthers are 2-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Broncos are 1-1 SU.
The Panthers are hoping to stay undefeated after a 48-42 win over Furman last week where Dan Ellington completed 29 passes on 37 attempts for 362 yards and five touchdowns. Ellington (86 yards on 15 rush attempts) also led the running attack and was complemented by Seth Paige (64 yards on 13 carries). Cornelius McCoy (10 receptions, 143 yards, one TD) and Terrance Dixon (eight catches, 68 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
On September 7, Michigan State knocked off this Western Michigan team by a score of 51-17. The Broncos defense allowed the Spartans to pass for 331 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 251 yards and three scores. Elijah Collins had a good outing in the win, recording 192 rushing yards on 17 attempts for Michigan State. For Western Michigan, Jon Wassink completed 23-of-37 passes for 252 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. LeVante Bellamy (44 rushing yards on 15 attempts) led the running game as Giovanni Ricci (six receptions, 53 yards, one TD) and Keith Mixon Jr. (four catches, 71 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Georgia State has run the ball on 60.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Western Michigan has an overall rush percentage of 47.6 percent. The Panthers have produced 208.5 rush yards per game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Broncos are putting up 78.5 rushing yards per game and have only one rush TD.
It appears that the Panthers might hold an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has produced 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.3 YPC to opponents. The Broncos have rushed for 2.6 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.2 to opponents.
The Panthers offensive scheme has averaged 250.5 yards in the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Broncos have recorded 326.5 pass yards per contest and also have seven total pass TD.
Georgia State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 154 yards and pass for 317 yards per game. The Western Michigan D has given up 262.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 189.5 yards per game on the ground. The Broncos are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.88 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers have allowed an 8.40 ANY/A.
Wassink has managed to complete 23-of-37 passes for 252 yards, one TD and two INTs. Wassink’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.13 for the year and 9.50 over his past two games. In the other locker room, Ellington is up to 362 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 29-of-37 attempts with five passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Ellington has a pristine 12.49 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 9.90 over the past two games.
Georgia State Panthers vs. Western Michigan Broncos NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Western Michigan, ATS Winner: Western Michigan, O/U: Under
Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Georgia State’s last game going into it was 61.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-42 victory over Furman.
- Each team has lost one fumble this year.
- The Over/Under for Western Michigan’s last outing was set at 46. The over cashed in the team’s 51-17 defeat to Michigan State.
- The Panthers have made two pass plays of 30+ yards while the Broncos have produced six such plays.
- The Georgia State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Western Michigan has given up one such play.
- Both defenses have produced one rushing play of 20 or more yards. The Georgia State offense has recorded 11 running plays of 10+ yards while Western Michigan has accounted for five such plays.
- The Panthers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Broncos have given up four such runs.
- The Georgia State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks seven times this year. Western Michigan has registered three sacks.
