NCAA Football Free Betting Prediction – UNLV Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams

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The Rams of Colorado State (-10) are set to welcome their conference nemesis UNLV Rebels to Canvas Stadium. This afternoon matchup will get going at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ATSN.

Betting Preview: Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Rebels

In this Saturday Mountain West game, Colorado State is labeled as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put up $400 to win $100 back on the Rams (-400). The Rebels are getting +300 moneyline odds. There will likely be some good in-game betting opportunities in this showdown, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 61.5 points.

This matchup’s betting odds have shifted some from where they originally opened. The opening line was -10 and the game’s O/U was initially set at 61.

Each team has rewarded gamblers this season as the Rebels have gained 1.2 units while the Rams are ahead 2.3 units.

The Rebels have gone 2-6 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against MWC opponents. The Rams are 3-5 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.

Colorado State enters this one on a two-game losing streak while UNLV has won its last two in a row. The Rebels will try to get back in stride after a narrow 20-17 loss to San Diego State last week where Kenyon Oblad completed only 21-of-39 passes for 255 yards and two touchdowns. Charles Williams (113 rushing yards on 19 attempts) led the ground attack. Randal Grimes (five receptions, 121 yards, one TD) and Noah Bean (three catches, 38 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Colorado State just picked up a 41-31 win over Fresno State. Patrick O’Brien completed 23-of-42 passes for 322 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Marcus McElroy (117 yards on 18 rush attempts, two TDs) and Jaylen Thomas (38 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game while Warren Jackson (nine receptions, 178 yards, one TD) and Dante Wright (five catches, 23 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

UNLV’s run the ball on 53.9 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 44.3 percent across possessions in conference play. Colorado State has a rush percentage of 47.7 percent, and has run the ball 49.8 percent of the time when playing MWC opponents. The Rebels have rushed for 169.9 yards/game (including 106 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The Rams are logging 154.4 rushing yards per game (101.5 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.

The Rebels offense has averaged 205.5 yards through the air overall (259.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Rams have produced 319.5 pass yards per outing (294 in the MWC) and have 16 total pass scores.

Defensively, UNLV has let opponents rush for an average of 208.5 yards and pass for 218.4 yards per game. The Colorado State defense has given up 179.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 216.6 yards per game on the ground. The Rams are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.79 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a 7.20 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Oblad is up to 994 yards this season. He’s completed 82-of-155 attempts with seven passing scores and three interceptions. Oblad’s got a 5.66 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.07 over the last two outings.

Patrick O’Brien has completed 96-of-165 passes for 1,296 yards, five TDs and three INTs for Colorado State. His ANY/A stands at 6.95 for the year and 9.58 over his past two games.

These two MWC foes did not get a chance to face one another in 2018.

UNLV Rebels at Colorado State Rams Free Pick

SU Winner: UNLV, ATS Winner: UNLV, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Colorado State has lost 12 fumbles this season while UNLV has lost six.
  • The Colorado State D has created 17 sacks on the year while UNLV has just 10.
  • UNLV, as a team, has produced 3.8 yards per carry across its last three contests and 3.8 over its last two.
  • Colorado State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.0 over its past two.
  • UNLV has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with a 24-point win over Vanderbilt on October 12th representing the only victory over that span.