The Troy Trojans and Missouri Tigers are ready to collide on the turf at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field. SEC Network is scheduled to have the TV rights and this vital afternoon game starts at 4:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Missouri Tigers vs. Troy Trojans
Troy is a big road underdog here and is currently receiving 26 points by oddsmakers. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 66.5 points. If one program can get out in front early on, it’ll likely create a worthwhile in-game betting scenario.
The Trojans are down 3.5 units so far and 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-1.
The underwhelming Tigers have lost 7.5 units this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-3.
The Trojans have gone 2-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Tigers are 3-1 SU.
The Trojans are hoping to get back in stride after a 50-43 loss to Arkansas State last week where their D allowed the Red Wolves to pass for 455 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 103 yards. Omar Bayless was unmatched for the Red Wolves in that one with 213 yards and a score on 10 catches. Offensively, Kaleb Barker completed 34 passes for 367 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. DK Billingsley (103 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and the signal-caller Barker (33 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the ground attack. Kaylon Geiger (eight receptions, 111 yards, one TD) and Bret Clark (five catches, 43 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Missouri just got a 34-14 win over South Carolina. The defensive secondary allowed the Gamecocks to air it out for 255 yards. Bryan Edwards had a good showing in the loss, posting 113 yards on six catches for South Carolina. For Missouri, Kelly Bryant completed 19-of-33 passes for 227 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Larry Rountree III (88 yards on 23 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Bryant (77 yards on 17 carries) mounted the running attack while Jonathan Nance (four receptions, 60 yards) and Johnathon Johnson (four catches, 52 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Troy’s run the ball on 45.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Missouri has a rush percentage of 58.1 percent. The Trojans have produced 170.5 rush yards per game and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 199.8 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then the Trojans could hold an advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 4.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.3 to opponents. The Tigers have recorded 4.3 yards per carry and allowed 2.9 YPC to opponents.
The Trojans offense has tallied a superb 342 yards per contest through the air overall and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have recorded 260.5 pass yards per game and have eight total pass scores.
Defensively, Troy has allowed 76 rush yards and 316.3 pass yards per game. The Missouri D has given up 135.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.8 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.27 to opponents, while the Trojans have allowed an ugly 9.26 ANY/A.
Bryant has managed to complete 67-of-106 passes for 800 yards, seven TDs and two INTs. Bryant’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.25 for the season and 7.27 across his last two outings. In the other huddle, Barker has already amassed 1,153 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 81-of-129 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Barker’s got a 9.22 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 6.40 over the past two games.
Troy Trojans vs. Missouri Tigers Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Missouri, ATS Winner: Troy, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Troy defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. Missouri has produced 10 sacks.
- The Missouri offense has lost three fumbles in 2019 while the Troy offense has lost two.
- The Trojans offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have put up three such plays.
- The Troy defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Missouri has given up two such plays.
- Both defenses have produced six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Troy offense has recorded 19 running plays of 10+ yards while Missouri has accounted for 27 such plays.
- The Trojans defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Tigers have given up three such runs.
- Troy has rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt over its last three games and 4.6 over its last two.
- Missouri has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its past two.
