NCAA Football Free Betting Pick: Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins

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The No. 21 Terrapins of Maryland (+18) are ready to welcome their conference rival Michigan Wolverines (-18) to Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and ABC will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Wolverines

Maryland is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 18 points in this Saturday Big 10 game. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to wager $1,500 in order to win $100 back on the Wolverines (-1500). The Terrapins are getting +810 moneyline odds. If one squad can find paydirt in the early stages it would create a nice betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 55.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Wolverines, as the opening line was 16.5. The game’s O/U has yet to change after it was set initially at 55.5.

The Wolverines are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far in 2019. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 6-2.

The hapless Terrapins have lost 5.3 units this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and own an O/U record of 5-2-1.

The Wolverines are 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against conference opponents. The Terrapins are 3-5 SU overall and 1-4 SU in conference play.

The Wolverines are trying to maintain momentum following a solid 45-14 victory over Notre Dame last week where Shea Patterson completed only six passes on 12 attempts for 100 yards and two touchdowns. Hassan Haskins (149 yards on 20 rushes) and Zach Charbonnet (74 yards on 15 carries, two TDs) provided the ground attack in the win while Mike Sainristil (three receptions, 73 yards, one TD) and Donovan Peoples-Jones (two catches, 28 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

A week ago, Minnesota knocked off this Maryland crew by a score of 52-10. The Terps defensive unit allowed the Golden Gophers to eat up the clock by running for 321 yards on 54 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Rodney Smith had a productive outing in the win, recording 103 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts for Minnesota. As a group, the Terps collectively completed 10-of-23 passes for 131 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Tyler DeSue went four-for-12 for 88 yards and one touchdown while Tyrrell Pigrome was six-of-nine for 43 yards and two interceptions. Anthony McFarland Jr. (38 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Carlos Carriere (three receptions, 31 yards) and Dontay Demus Jr. (three catches, 21 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Michigan has run the ball on 58.2 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 53.5 percent across possessions in conference play. Maryland has a run percentage of 53 percent, and has rushed the ball 50.2 percent of the time against Big 10 opponents. The Wolverines have produced 172.6 rush yards per game (including 147.4 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 20 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Terps are logging 191.1 rushing yards per game (139.4 in conference) and have 20 total rush TDs.

The Wolverines offense has averaged 224.6 yards in the air overall (242.2 per game against conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Terps have recorded 212.3 pass yards per contest (183 against Big 10 foes) and have 14 total pass scores.

Michigan should have the upper hand in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 110.6 yards and pass for 159.8 yards per game. The Maryland defense has allowed 273.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 150.5 yards per game on the ground. The Wolverines are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.44 to opposing QBs, while the Terps have given up a 7.33 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Patterson has amassed 1,346 yards on the year. He’s completed 57 percent of his 173 attempts with 11 scores through the air and only three interceptions. He’s got a 7.15 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.14 over the last two games.

Tyrrell Pigrome has managed to complete 44-of-75 passes for 432 yards, one TD and four INTs for Maryland. His ANY/A stands at a minuscule 3.27 for the season and 3.41 over his past two outings.

These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 42-21 win for Michigan.

Michigan Wolverines at Maryland Terrapins Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Michigan, ATS Winner: Michigan, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Maryland offense has lost two fumbles this season while Michigan has let nine get away.
  • The Michigan D has 24 sacks on the year while Maryland has just 18.
  • As a team, Michigan has produced 5.1 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.5 over its last two.
  • Maryland has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its last two.
  • In its last three contests, Maryland is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Michigan’s last game was set at 47.5. The over cashed in the team’s 45-14 win over Notre Dame.
  • In its last three matches, Michigan is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for Maryland’s previous match was set at 60. The over cashed in the 52-10 loss to Minnesota.
  • Michigan has won five of its last six games SU, with a seven-point defeat to Penn State on October 19th accounting for the only loss over that span.
  • Maryland has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 41-point win over Rutgers on October 5th accounting for the lone victory over that stretch.