NCAA Football Free Betting Pick: Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Posts AdminArticles, College Football, Football

The Florida State Seminoles and No. 25 Virginia Cavaliers will go head-to-head on the grass at David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium. The matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ACC Network.

Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Cavaliers

In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Virginia is getting picked as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 8 points. The Seminoles are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Cavaliers are -330. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 56.5 points. It appears that there might be multiple decent live betting opportunities while the game’s taking place.

After the game’s O/U was initially set at 55.5, Sharp bettors have been taking the over.

The underwhelming Seminoles are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.7 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-0.

The Cavaliers have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Seminoles have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any ACC competition yet. The Cavaliers are 2-0 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Noles just recorded a 45-44 win over Louisiana-Monroe last week. The passing game could’ve been better as James Blackman completed 30-of-40 passes for 282 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Cam Akers (193 yards on 36 rush attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack in the win. D.J. Matthews (seven receptions, 47 yards, one TD) and Tamorrion Terry (six catches, 57 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Virginia takes the field this week after just earning a 52-17 win over William & Mary. The defense did its job in the victory, keeping the Tribe to only 130 passing yards and 63 rushing yards. Zach Burdick was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 65 yards and a score on two catches for William & Mary. As a group, the Wahoos collectively completed 25-of-36 passes for 295 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Bryce Perkins went 16-for-26 for 192 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions while Brennan Armstrong was nine-of-10 for 103 yards and one interception. Mike Hollins (78 rushing yards on 11 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Perkins (68 yards on seven carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack in the win while Joe Reed (four receptions, 58 yards, one TD) and Tavares Kelly Jr. (four catches, one yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Florida State has run the ball on 51.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Virginia has a rush percentage of 49.3 percent. The Seminoles have produced 159 rush yards per game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Wahoos are putting up 172.5 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Wahoos may hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their backfield has logged 5.1 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 2.2 to opponents. The Seminoles have ran for 4.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.

The Noles offensive scheme has averaged 304.5 yards through the air overall and has six passing scores so far. The Wahoos have put up 238 pass yards per game and have four total pass TDs.

Florida State has let opponents rush for an average of 196 yards and throw for 324 yards per game. The Virginia defense has given up 157.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 70.5 yards per game on the ground. The Wahoos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.02 to opponents, while the Seminoles have given up a 6.48 ANY/A.

Perkins has managed to complete 16-of-26 passes for 192 yards, two TDs and two INTs for Virginia. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 5.46 for the year and 5.48 over his past two games. In the other locker room, Blackman has put up 282 passing yards this season, and has connected on 30-of-40 attempts with three passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Blackman has a 5.76 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 7.58 over the past two outings.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to play each other in 2018.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Pick

SU Winner: Virginia, ATS Winner: Virginia, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Virginia defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this year. Florida State has registered seven sacks.
  • The Virginia offense has lost one fumble this season while the Florida State offense has lost three.
  • The Seminoles offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cavaliers have put up one such play.
  • The Florida State defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Virginia has given up one such play.
  • The Florida State offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Virginia has created two such run.
  • The Seminoles defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Cavaliers have given up one such run.