NCAA Football Free Betting Pick: Colorado State Rams vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

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The Colorado State Rams and Arkansas Razorbacks will do battle on the turf at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. SEC Network has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get underway at 4:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Colorado State Rams

Colorado State is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 10 points in this game. The Rams are also receiving +290 moneyline odds while the Razorbacks are -370. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 59.5 points, and if one team gets out in front early, it’ll likely produce a nice live betting scenario.

This game’s line opened at -10, while the total has yet to move after it was initially set at 59.5.

The Rams have gained 0.0 units so far and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Razorbacks have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 0-2 ATS and owns an O/U record of 0-2.

The Rams have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Razorbacks are also 1-1 SU.

When these two programs faced each other last year, Colorado State knocked Colorado State off by a touchdown 34-27.

The Rams are coming off a resounding 38-13 victory over Western Illinois last week where Collin Hill completed 25-of-32 passes for 367 yards and four touchdowns. Marvin Kinsey Jr. (89 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the ground attack while Warren Jackson (seven receptions, 55 yards) and Dante Wright (seven catches, 111 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Arkansas just lost 31-17 to Ole Miss. The defense allowed the Rebels to kill the clock by running for 237 yards on 53 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Scottie Phillips put up a good showing in the win, recording 143 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 26 attempts for Ole Miss. As a group, the Razorbacks collectively completed 25-of-41 passes for 300 yards and one touchdown. Nick Starkel went 17-for-24 for 201 yards and one touchdown while Ben Hicks was seven-of-16 for 98 yards. Rakeem Boyd (67 yards on 17 rush attempts) mounted the running game while Trey Knox (six receptions, 88 yards) and Mike Woods (six catches, 84 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Colorado State has run the ball on 45.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Arkansas has a rush percentage of 47.2. The Rams have produced 160 rush yards per game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Razorbacks are totaling 132.5 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

The Rams offensive scheme has averaged a stout 385 yards in the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Razorbacks have recorded 245.5 pass yards per game and have just one pass scores.

Colorado State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 153.5 yards and throw for 191.5 yards per game. The Arkansas D has allowed 200.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 156.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Razorbacks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.53 to opponents, while the Rams have allowed a 6.09 ANY/A.

Hill probably has the edge over Starkel in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 13.97for the year (and 9.56 over the last two games). Starkel’s ANY/A is 8.48 for the season and 7.17 over his last two outings.

Colorado State Rams vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Arkansas, ATS Winner: Arkansas, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Each team defense has tallied seven sacks this season.
  • The Arkansas offense has lost one fumble this season while Colorado State has let four get away.
  • The Rams offense has created three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Razorbacks have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Colorado State defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards, while Arkansas has given up one such play.
  • The Colorado State offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Arkansas has created one such runs.
  • The Rams defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Razorbacks have given up six such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Arkansas’ last matchup was 50.5. The under cashed in the 31-17 loss to Ole Miss.
  • The Over/Under for Colorado State’s previous game going into it was 57.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-13 victory over Western Illinois.