The No. 13 Ducks of Oregon (-16) are gearing up to welcome their conference rival California Golden Bears to Autzen Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:00 p.m. ET and spectators can tune in to the action on FOX.
Betting Preview: California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks
California is projected as the underdog and is currently getting 16 points in this Pac-12 game. The Golden Bears are also receiving +600 moneyline odds while the Ducks are -945. Some decent in-game betting scenarios should exist during this showdown, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 46 points.
Sharp bettors have been siding with both the Golden Bears and the under. The line initially opened at -17 while the O/U was originally 47.5.
The surprising Golden Bears have gained 5.0 units so far and are 2-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-4.
The Ducks have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and owns an O/U record of 1-3.
The Golden Bears are 4-1 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Ducks are 3-1 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play.
The Golden Bears fell to Arizona State 24-17 in a contest where their defense allowed the Sun Devils to eat up the clock by rushing for 191 yards on 48 attempts, including three rush TDs. Eno Benjamin had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 100 rushing yards and all three touchdowns on 29 attempts. On the offense, the Golden Bears completed 14-of-26 passes for 140 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Devon Modster went five-for-14 for 23 yards and one interception while Chase Garbers completed nine-of-12 for 117 yards and one touchdown. Christopher Brown Jr. (just 54 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the loss while Trevon Clark (four receptions, 68 yards, one TD) and Dancy (four catches, 41 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Oregon is coming off of a sound 21-6 win over Stanford back in Week 4. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Cardinal to run for 114 yards on 33 rush attempts. Cameron Scarlett was a bright spot in the loss for Stanford, recording 97 rushing yards on 19 attempts. For Oregon, Justin Herbert completed 19-of-24 passes for 259 yards and three touchdowns. CJ Verdell (82 yards on 24 rush attempts) led the ground game in the win while Jacob Breeland (five receptions, 78 yards, two TDs) and Bryan Addison (four catches, 42 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
California has run the ball on 61.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has an overall rush percentage of 50.2 percent. The Golden Bears have rushed for 147.8 yards/game (including 148.5 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Ducks are putting up 154.8 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.
It appears that the Ducks might hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.4 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.0 YPC to opponents. The Golden Bears have tallied 3.6 yards per carry while allowing 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Golden Bears offensive scheme has logged 198.2 yards/game through the air overall (125.5 per game against conference opposition) and has eight passing scores so far. The Ducks have put up 304 pass yards per contest and have 16 total pass TDs.
California has let opponents rush for an average of 151.2 yards and pass for 215 yards per game. The Oregon defense has allowed 160 yards per game to opposing passers and 102.8 yards per game on the ground. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.22 to opposing QBs, while the Golden Bears have given up a 5.01 ANY/A.
Herbert likely has the edge over Chase Garbers in this one. The Ducks man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 10.04 for the season and 10.14 over his last two outings while Garbers’ ANY/A is 6.14 (and 9.28 over the last two outings).
These two teams met last year with the final result being a 42-24 victory for Oregon.
California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Oregon, ATS Winner: Oregon, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Oregon D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 15 times this year. California has recorded 13 sacks.
- The Oregon offense has lost two fumbles this season while California has lost three.
- The Golden Bears offense has registered three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ducks have accounted for two such plays.
- The California defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oregon has given up zero such plays.
- The California offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oregon has created four such runs.
- The Golden Bears defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ducks have given up three such runs.
- The O/U for Oregon’s last outing was set at 55. The under cashed in that 21-6 victory over Stanford.
- In its last three contests, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three matches, California is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for California’s previous game was set at 43. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 defeat to Arizona State.
- California has averaged 2.7 yards per carry across its last three games and 2.4 over its last two.
- Oregon has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.5 over its last two.
