NCAA Football Free ATS Pick: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Virginia Cavaliers

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The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and Virginia Cavaliers are set to go at it on the grass at David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium. This afternoon game starts at 12:30 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action on CHSS.

Betting Preview: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Georgia Tech is a live dog and is currently getting 17 points in this Saturday ACC game. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to spend $1,200 to win $100 back on the Wahoos (-1200). The Yellow Jackets are getting +710 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points. It appears that there should be some good live betting opportunities during the showdown.

This game’s opening line was -17. The total has yet to change since being set initially at 44.

The Yellow Jackets are 1-6-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.3 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Cavaliers have gained 0.1 units this season. The team is 4-4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-4.

The Yellow Jackets are only 2-6 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against ACC opponents. The Cavaliers are 6-3 SU overall and 4-2 SU in conference play.

The Yellow Jackets fell to Pittsburgh 20-10 in a contest where their defense allowed the Panthers to eat up the clock by running for 158 yards on 36 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. A.J. Davis had a productive day for the Panthers in that one with 75 rushing yards on 16 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, the Yellow Jackets completed 8-of-21 passes for 108 yards, one touchdown and one interception. James Graham went three-for-13 for 57 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Lucas Johnson completed five-of-eight for 51 yards. Jordan Mason (56 yards on 15 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Ahmarean Brown (four receptions, 61 yards, one TD) and Nathan Cottrell (one catch, 14 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Virginia just earned a 38-31 win over North Carolina. The defense let the Tar Heels pass for 353 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 186 yards. Dyami Brown torched the defense, recording 202 yards and three touchdowns on six catches for North Carolina. For Virginia, Bryce Perkins completed 30-of-39 passes for 378 yards and three touchdowns. Perkins (112 yards on 24 rush attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the running game while Terrell Jana (13 receptions, 146 yards) and Joe Reed (six catches, 55 yards) led the Virginia pass-catchers in the win.

Georgia Tech has run the ball on 62.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Virginia has an overall rush percentage of 46.8 percent. The Yellow Jackets have run for 158.5 yards per game (including 154.6 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Wahoos are putting up 108.7 rushing yards per game (114.8 in conference) and have 18 total rush TDs.

The Yellow Jackets offense has averaged 141 yards through the air overall (152 per game versus conference opposition) and has eight passing scores so far. The Wahoos have put up 254.8 pass yards per game (248 in the ACC) and have 12 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Georgia Tech has allowed 217.8 rush yards and 187.9 pass yards per game. The Virginia defense has allowed 189.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Yellow Jackets have given up an ANY/A of 5.78 to opposing QBs, while the Wahoos are allowing an ANY/A of 5.37.

Offensively, Graham is up to 626 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 44-of-104 attempts with five scores through the air and four interceptions. Graham has a 4.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.63 over the last two outings.

We’re looking for Yellow Jackets to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with Ahmarean Brown (261 yards, three TDs), Jordan Mason (481 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Nathan Cottrell (-3 rush yards, 14 receiving yards) have been big focal points in the offensive gameplans for Georgia Tech.

Bryce Perkins has connected on 178-of-273 passes for 1,940 yards, 11 TDs and seven INTs for Virginia. His ANY/A sits at 5.66 for the season and 6.89 over his last two outings.

The Wahoos will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Terrell Jana (395 receiving yards), Hasise Dubois (586 receiving yards and three receiving TDs) and Bryce Perkins (365 rush yards, seven rush TDs) have seen quite a few touches recently.

When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Georgia Tech won by a field goal 30-27.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAA Pick

SU Winner: Virginia, ATS Winner: Virginia, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Over/Under for Georgia Tech’s previous game was 44. The under cashed in the team’s 20-10 loss to Pittsburgh.
  • Georgia Tech, as a team, has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.0 over its last two.
  • Virginia has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.7 over its last two.
  • The Virginia offense has lost six fumbles this season while Georgia Tech has lost seven.
  • In its last three matchups, Georgia Tech is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Virginia’s last matchup was set at 48. The over cashed in the team’s 38-31 victory over North Carolina.
  • Over its last three games, Virginia is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Yellow Jackets offense has registered five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cavaliers have put up four such plays.
  • The Georgia Tech defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Virginia has given up seven such plays.
  • The Georgia Tech offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Virginia has created six such runs.
  • The Yellow Jackets defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cavaliers have given up seven such runs.
  • The Virginia defensive unit has notched 34 sacks on the year while Georgia Tech has just 13.