NCAA Football Betting Free Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines

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The No. 14 Iowa Hawkeyes (+5) are set to face off against their conference nemesis No. 19 Michigan Wolverines (-5) at Michigan Stadium. Kickoff for this crucialgame is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and FOX will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Iowa Hawkeyes at Michigan Wolverines

In this Saturday Big Ten game, Michigan is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, bettors would currently need to put down $200 in order to win $100 back on the Wolverines (-200). The Hawkeyes are getting +170 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 48 points. Some decent live betting possibilities might be unveiled during this game.

The line opened at -5. The game’s total has yet to change since it was set initially at 48.

The Hawkeyes have recorded 2.0 units so far and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 2-2.

The Wolverines have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and the over has hit in three of their games.

The Hawkeyes are 4-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Wolverines are 3-1 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.

The Hawkeyes are looking to stay unbeaten after a 48-3 win over Middle Tennessee last week. Nate Stanley completed 17 passes for 276 yards and two touchdowns. Mekhi Sargent (91 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and Tyler Goodson (97 yards on 12 carries) led the running attack while Brandon Smith (six receptions, 71 yards, two TDs) and Ihmir Smith-Marsette (four catches, 60 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Michigan enters this Saturday’s matchup after just earning a 52-0 win over Rutgers. Shea Patterson completed 17-of-23 passes for 276 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Christian Turner (48 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Ronnie Bell (six receptions, 83 yards) and Donovan Peoples-Jones (four catches, 62 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Iowa has run the ball on 56.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan has an overall rush percentage of 53 percent. The Hawkeyes have produced 217.5 rush yards per game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Wolverines are logging 130.5 rushing yards per game (90.5 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.

Judging by the early season results, the Hawkeyes could hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has generated 5.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.4 YPC to opponents. The Wolverines have ran for 3.5 yards per carry and allowed 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Hawkeyes offense has tallied 247.5 yards per game in the air overall and has eight passing TDs so far. The Wolverines have recorded 261.5 pass yards per outing (297 against Big 10 competition) and have seven total pass scores.

Iowa has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 77 yards and throw for 174 yards per game. The Michigan defense has given up 127.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 168.0 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Hawkeyes have given up an ANY/A of 5.00 to opposing QBs, while the Wolverines are yielding an ANY/A of 4.5.

Patterson has managed to complete 53-of-81 passes for 686 yards, four TDs and one INT for Michigan. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.60 for the season and 7.71 across his last two games. In the other huddle, Stanley has amassed 764 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 54-of-83 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Stanley has a 10.15 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 7.39 over the past two games.

These two Big 10 foes did not get a chance to play each other a year ago.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Pick

SU Winner: Michigan, ATS Winner: Michigan, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for Iowa’s previous game going into it was 50.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-3 victory over Middle Tennessee.
  • Iowa has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its past three outings and 5.3 over its last two.
  • Michigan has averaged 2.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.0 over its past two.
  • The Michigan offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Iowa has let one get away.
  • In its last three matches, Iowa is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Michigan’s last matchup was set at 50. The over cashed in the 52-0 victory over Rutgers.
  • Over its last three matches, Michigan is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Hawkeyes offense has produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wolverines have put up two such plays.
  • The Iowa defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Michigan has given up one such play.
  • The Iowa offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Michigan has created one such runs.
  • The Hawkeyes defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wolverines have given up five such runs.
  • The Michigan defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks six times this season. Iowa has recorded five sacks.