The Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-0) are off to a hot start and will try to stay unbeaten when they square off against the No. 25 Cincinnati Bearcats (4-2) at BB&T Arena. Cincinnati opened as an 11-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 138 points. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 12, 2017, and it can be seen on ESPN2.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats ATS Preview
In the Bulldogs last matchup, they won big over the North Georgia Saints, 95-62. Quinndary Weatherspoon was the top scorer from either team with 22 points on 8-for-11 shooting. Mississippi State played a flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.108 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 19.6). For those same stats, North Georgia had marks of 0.000 and 17.9, respectively.
The Bearcats are trying to rebound after their 66-60 loss to the No. 5 Florida Gators in their last matchup. With nine points and 13 rebounds, Gary Clark put together a solid game for Cincinnati. Florida did a fantastic job of making free throws (14-17; 82.4 percent). Cincinnati, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (37.1 vs. 33.3).
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Cincinnati should have a noteworthy edge. Since last season, the Bearcats defense ranks 24th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.450), while the Mississippi State offense ranks 159th in effective field goal percentage (0.520).
Games including these teams have a tendency to finish under the projected point total. Mississippi State games have finished under 75.0 percent of the time, while Cincinnati games have finished under 66.7 percent of the time. The Bulldogs hold the substantial advantage straight up (SU) (8-0 vs. 4-2), but the Bearcats have the superior against the spread (ATS) record (3-4 vs. 1-3).
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats ATS Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cincinnati, ATS Winner – Mississippi State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- The Bearcats are sixth in the nation with 3.9 steals allowed per game while the Bulldogs are 44th with 5.3 steals allowed per game.
- Cincinnati ranks 50th in assists per game (15.9) while Mississippi State ranks 188th (12.4).
- The Bearcats average 37.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. The Bulldogs rank 187th in rebounds allowed per game (36.7).
- Cincinnati averages 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 24th in the NCAA. Mississippi State ranks 63rd in blocks allowed per game (3.0).