The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas A&M Aggies are set to square off on the grass at Kyle Field. Kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to SEC Network.
Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
In this Saturday Southeastern game, Texas A&M is projected as the big favorite and is currently giving up 11 points. The Bulldogs are also receiving +315 moneyline odds while the Aggies are -425. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 49 points, and if one side can find paydirt in the early stages, it’ll likely result in a worthwhile in-game betting opportunity.
The opening line was -10. The game’s O/U hasn’t moved since it opened at 49.
The Bulldogs are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 4-3.
The Aggies have lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-3-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-4.
The Bulldogs have gone 3-4 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against SEC opponents. The Aggies are 4-3 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.
The Bulldogs came up short to LSU 36-13 in a thumping where their secondary allowed the Tigers to air it out for 327 yards and four touchdowns. On the offense, Garrett Shrader completed 17-of-28 passes for 238 yards, one score and two interceptions. Shrader (66 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) also spearheaded the ground attack and was complemented by Kylin Hill (34 yards on 15 carries). Stephen Guidry (six receptions, 98 yards, one TD) and Deddrick Thomas (three catches, 31 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Texas A&M take the field on Saturday after just getting a 24-17 win over Ole Miss. Kellen Mond completed 16-of-28 passes for 172 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Isaiah Spiller (78 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Mond (76 yards on 15 carries) spearheaded the running attack as Jhamon Ausbon (five receptions, 47 yards) and Jalen Wydermyer (four catches, 67 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Mississippi State has run the ball on 61.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas A&M has an overall rush percentage of 44.3 percent. The Bulldogs have produced 179.1 rush yards/game (including 145.5 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The Aggies are putting up 136.7 rushing yards per game (108.8 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
The Bulldogs offensive scheme has averaged 191.9 yards through the air overall (195 per game against conference opposition) and has nine passing scores so far. The Aggies have put up 271.4 pass yards per outing (256 in the SEC) and have 15 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Mississippi State has allowed 152.3 rush yards and 244.4 pass yards per game. The Texas A&M defense has given up 200.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 135.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.5 to opponents, while the Bulldogs have given up a 7.45 ANY/A.
Mond has connected on 133-of-209 passes for 1,505 yards, 11 TDs and six INTs. Mond’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.18 for the season and 4.63 across his last two outings. In the other huddle, Shrader is up to 749 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 57-of-96 attempts with three passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Shrader has a 6.25 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 4.43 over the past two outings.
When these two programs met a year ago, Mississippi State got the victory over Texas A&M, 28-13.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Mississippi State, ATS Winner: Mississippi State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Mississippi State defense has 13 sacks on the year while Texas A&M has 12.
- Texas A&M has lost six fumbles this season while the Mississippi State offense has let seven get away.
- The Bulldogs offense has registered one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Aggies have accounted for two such plays.
- The Mississippi State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Texas A&M has given up one such play.
- The Mississippi State offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Texas A&M has created 10 such runs.
- Both teams have allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Bulldogs have given up 37 running plays of 10+ yards while the Aggies have given up 32 such plays.
- Mississippi State has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 15-point victory over Kentucky on September 21st accounting for the only win over that span.
- Mississippi State, as a team, has produced 3.0 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.0 over its last two.
- Texas A&M has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its past two.
