It will be a matchup between two great offenses when the Auburn Tigers (19-9, 8-7 SEC) go head-to-head with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-7, 9-6 SEC) at Auburn Arena. Action begins at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019, and can be seen on ESPNU.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers ATS Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Tigers barely escaped the Georgia Bulldogs 78-75, while the Bulldogs had no trouble getting past the Missouri Tigers 68-49.
Mississippi State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.292 (above their season average of 0.236) and a turnover percentage of 12.5 (better than their season average of 16.5). For those same stats, Missouri recorded marks of 0.154 and 20.6, respectively. Meanwhile, Auburn’s 9.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Georgia, who had a rate of 19.4. The Tigers’ mark was better than their season average of 15.7. Jared Harper fueled Auburn with 22 points and five assists. Mississippi State rallied around Tyson Carter, who contributed 22 points.
In their first matchup this year, Lamar Peters led the Bulldogs to a 92-84 victory. He notched a double-double with 16 points and 10 assists. The Bulldogs’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Tigers. Mississippi State had a rate of 15.7, while Auburn posted a mark of 24.3.
This showdown figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the NCAA’s premier offenses go head-to-head. Auburn currently ranks 28th with 113.7 points per 100 possessions and Mississippi State is 31st (113.5). Also, the Bulldogs could control the offensive glass in this showdown as they rank 33rd in the NCAA in offensive rebounding percentage at 34.3 percent. The Tigers, meanwhile, rank 311th at securing defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 68.1 percent.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Auburn, ATS Winner – Mississippi State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Auburn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while Mississippi State ranks 164th (22.2).
- The Bulldogs rank 19th in steals per game (8.4) while the Tigers rank 112th in steals allowed per game (6.2).
- Auburn averages 14.9 assists per game, which ranks 63rd in the NCAA. Mississippi State ranks 80th in assists allowed per game (12.1).
- The Bulldogs rank seventh in blocks per game (5.4) while the Tigers rank 142nd in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
- Mississippi State ranks 42nd in rebounds allowed per game (32.1) while Auburn ranks 157th (35.0).
Bettings Trends:
- The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 11.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 74.0 points per game (3.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.2 points per game (8.3 below their season average).
