Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants: Week 5 Free Betting Pick

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The Minnesota Vikings (-5) and New York Giants are ready to square off on the turf at MetLife Stadium. This critical early afternoon game is scheduled to begin at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants

In this Sunday NFC matchup, Minnesota is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 5 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put down $200 in order to win $100 back on the Vikings (-200). The Giants are getting +170 moneyline odds. If one side catches a lucky break early on it’ll create a nice in-game betting scenario. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points.

Sharp bettors are leaning toward both the G-Men and the under. The game’s opening line was initially set at 6 and the over/under was originally 46.

The Vikings are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.1 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 1-3.

The Giants have gained 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-2 ATS and have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Vikings have gone 2-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Giants are also 2-2 SU.

The Vikes are trying to bounce back after a 16-6 defeat to Chicago in Week 4. The passing attack was on point as Kirk Cousins completed 27 passes on 36 attempts for 233 yards. Dalvin Cook (only 35 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) provided the ground attack while Stefon Diggs (seven receptions, 108 yards) and Cook (six catches, 35 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

New York is coming off of a 24-3 win over Washington a week ago. Daniel Jones completed 23-of-31 passes for 225 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Wayne Gallman Jr. (63 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) and Jon Hilliman (33 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game while Sterling Shepard (seven receptions, 76 yards) and Gallman Jr. (six catches, 55 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Minnesota has run the ball on 54.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 36.8 percent. The Vikings have produced 155.3 rush yards per game and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The G-Men are averaging 129 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

The Vikes offense has averaged 183.8 yards in the air overall and has three passing scores so far. The G-Men have put up 283.5 pass yards per outing and have five total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Minnesota seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 94.3 rush yards and 239.8 pass yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 295.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.8 yards per game on the ground. The Vikes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.56 to opponents, while the G-Men have given up a 7.69 ANY/A.

Offensively, Cousins is up to 561 passing yards this season, and has connected on 63 percent of his 78 attempts with two scores through the air and two interceptions. He has a 5.26 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.97 over the last two outings.

We’re expecting the Vikings to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Along with Stefon Diggs (194 yards, one TD), Dalvin Cook (300 rush yards, four rush TDs, 81 receiving yards) and Alexander Mattison (79 rush yards) have really been focal points in the Minnesota offensive scheme.

Daniel Jones has managed to complete 26-of-35 passes for 242 yards, one TD and two INTs for New York. His ANY/A stands at 4.91 for the year and 7.04 over his past two games.

The G-Men should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Sterling Shepard (118 receiving yards), Evan Engram (218 receiving yards and one receiving TD) and Wayne Gallman Jr. (80 rush yards, two rush TDs, 79 receiving yards, one TD) have seen a multitude of touches recently.

Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Giants, ATS Winner: Giants, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • As a team, Minnesota has rushed for 5.5 yards per attempt over its last three games and 4.6 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 4.2 over its last two.
  • The New York offense has lost six fumbles this season while Minnesota has lost four.
  • The Vikings offense has created zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Giants have put up three such plays.
  • The Minnesota defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40 or more yards, while New York has given up six such plays.
  • The Minnesota offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New York has created four such runs.
  • The Vikings defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Giants have given up two such runs.
  • The Minnesota D has 11 sacks on the year while New York has 10.