Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys: Week 10 Free Betting Pick

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The Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys are set to do battle on the turf of AT&T Stadium. The key Sunday Night showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC has the TV rights.

Week 10 Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings approach this Sunday NFC game as the dog here and they’re currently being given 3 points. The Vikings are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points, and if one team gets out in front in the early stages, it will probably generate a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

The Vikings are 5-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.7 units so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 4-5.

The Cowboys have lost 2.7 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-3.

The Vikings have gone 6-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Cowboys are 5-3 SU.

The Vikings will look to bounce back after a narrow 26-23 defeat to Kansas City in Week 9. The passing attack could’ve been more effective as Kirk Cousins completed just 19-of-38 passes for 220 yards and three touchdowns. Dalvin Cook (just 71 rushing yards on 21 attempts) led the ground attack while Cook (four receptions, 45 yards) and Irv Smith Jr. (four catches, 33 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Dallas just earned a 37-18 win over the Giants last week. Dak Prescott completed 22-of-35 passes for 257 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Ezekiel Elliott (139 rushing yards on 23 attempts) handled the running attack while Jason Witten (eight receptions, 58 yards) and Randall Cobb (six catches, 35 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Minnesota has run the ball on 53.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Dallas has an overall rush percentage of 46.7 percent. The Vikings have rushed for 153 yards/game and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cowboys are totaling 149.3 rush yards per game and have 11 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Cowboys may own an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 4.2 to opponents. The Vikings have ran for 4.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.

The Vikes offensive scheme has averaged 246.3 yards in the air overall and has 16 passing scores so far. The Cowboys have recorded 297.5 pass yards per contest and have 15 total pass TDs.

Minnesota has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 95.8 yards and throw for 249.9 yards per game. The Dallas defense has allowed 242.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 97.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Vikes have given up an ANY/A of 5.54 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys are yielding an ANY/A of 5.55.

Offensively, Cousins has put up 1,932 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 67 percent of his 227 attempts with 16 passing scores and only three interceptions. He has a sparkling 8.40 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.01 over the last two outings.

Dak Prescott has connected on 169-of-246 passes for 2,141 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs for Dallas. His ANY/A sits at 8.11 for the season and 7.08 over his last two outings.

Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick

SU Winner: Vikings, ATS Winner: Vikings, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • Dallas has lost three fumbles this season while Minnesota has lost seven.
  • The Minnesota D has 28 sacks on the year while Dallas has just 22.
  • Minnesota, as a team, has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its last two.
  • Dallas has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.5 over its past two.
  • Over its last three matches, Dallas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Minnesota’s last game was set at 46. The over cashed in the team’s 26-23 loss to Kansas City.
  • Over its last three matchups, Minnesota is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Dallas’ previous matchup going into it was 50. The over cashed in the 37-18 victory over the Giants.