Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Matchup

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The Minnesota Twins are traveling east to Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees. Fox Sports North will be showing this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Odds

Vegas is listing Minnesota (+130) as the underdog to New York (-140). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 17-13 straight up (SU) and 15-15 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS. The Twins have gone 19-10 SU this year and are 15-13 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 9.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 1.2 units ATS.

Neither team has been an obvious over/under play this year. New York games have an over/under record of 16-14 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 15-13.

Kyle Gibson will get the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Gibson is 2-0 with a 4.88 ERA and 24 strikeouts. This is his first outing against New York this year. He made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 0.77 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Yankees are countering with James Paxton (3-2, 3.38 ERA). Paxton has 51 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Paxton made two starts against the Twins in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 2.25 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

The New York hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .287/.358/.439 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Gleyber Torres and Luke Voit have led the Yankees’ offense this year. Torres is slashing .271/.302/.466 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Voit’s line is .277/.396/.545 with nine homers, 26 RBIs and 23 runs.

For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.94 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 7.71 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a K/9 of 9.75.

The Twins offense has slashed .258/.326/.498 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Minnesota’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Jorge Polanco and second baseman Jonathan Schoop. Polanco is hitting .336/.405/.636 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Schoop (.278/.320/.515) is up to five homers, 14 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 1.0 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.9 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 11 which went under the total.

Twins at Yankees Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only two of Minnesota’s last seven contests.
  • The Twins have a total OPS of .824 this season, including an OPS of .826 against left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .788 overall and .775 against southpaws.
  • The Twins have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • New York has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 11 over their last 10.