The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park. Fox Sports North will broadcast this interleague showdown. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-135) is hosting this one as the favorite against Minnesota (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at -170 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 49-35 straight up (SU) and 46-37 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.0 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Twins are 35-46 SU and have gone 43-37 ATS. In total, the teams lost 11.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 2.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 34-46-3 so far in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 38-39-3.
Jake Odorizzi is getting the nod for the Twinkies. The right-handed Odorizzi is 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 88 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Junior Guerra (4-5, 3.05 ERA), who’s got 80 punchouts and 31 walks this season as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Guerra is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.07, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 10.5.
Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .251/.325/.400 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers offense this year. Cain is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, and Yelich is batting .289 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.53, along with a K-per-9 of 9.24.
The Twins offense has slashed .239/.312/.400 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who have combined to launch 30 home runs. Rosario is slashing .312/.352/.564 with 18 home runs, 52 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Escobar (.276/.331/.525) has produced 12 homers, 49 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 6.2 units and are 30-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.6 units and are 40-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 38 that went under.
Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven contests.
- The Twins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- Minnesota has averaged 22.2 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 28.4 over its last five.
- The Twins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
