Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will be taking on their AL Central rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in a Sunday matinee. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the action.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
Sportsbooks have Minnesota (-230) as the favorite over Detroit (+210). You can play game’s total with current odds posted at -130 for over 9 runs and +110 for under 9. This game currently has a runline of Twins -1.5 (-155) and Tigers +1.5 (+135).
The Twins have gone 42-21 SU this year and are 38-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.2 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 24-37 SU and 26-34 ATS. The team has lost 5.5 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Detroit games have a 26-31-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 31-27-4.
Jake Odorizzi will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi is 8-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are handing the ball to lefty Ryan Carpenter (1-2, 6.23 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 1.35. Carpenter has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 5.06 ERA and three strikeouts across 5.1 innings).
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.63 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 9.83.
Twins hitters have slashed .271/.341/.510 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have paced Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .336/.398/.577 with 10 home runs, 33 RBIs and 40 runs scored. Rosario (.267/.302/.533) has produced 18 homers, 50 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
For the home team, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.39 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.18 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.8 K/9. In 22 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.02.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .290/.342/.432 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .299/.364/.389 with three home runs, 27 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Castellanos has put up a line of .261/.313/.444 with six homers, 23 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 0.1 units and are 8-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to four that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 7.4 units and are 19-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve cashed the under.
Twins vs. Tigers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Minnesota has logged 22 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Detroit has 15 XBH over its last five.
- Minnesota has recorded 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Twins have a total OPS of .851 this season and an OPS of .873 against left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .680 overall and .720 against lefties.
