Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will take on their division rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field in a Saturday showdown. Fox Sports North will be televising the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Sportsbooks have Minnesota (+130) as the underdog to Cleveland (-140). The total currently stands at 9 runs and gamblers can play the over for -115 and the under for -105. There’s a runline of Twins +1.5 (-170) and Indians -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.
The Indians are 50-39 straight up (SU) and 44-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Twins are 57-33 SU and have gone 49-40 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 16.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 39-46-3 so far in 2019. Minnesota has been a decent over bet with a total record of 45-39-5.
Right-hander Jake Odorizzi is getting the start for the visiting Twins. Odorizzi is 10-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 96 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians are sending righty Trevor Bauer (8-6, 3.61 ERA) to the mound. Bauer has 149 strikeouts and 51 walks as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Bauer is 0-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA across two starts against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.23, along with a K/9 of 9.40.
Twins hitters have slashed .271/.338/.496 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been powered by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .311/.368/.514 with 13 home runs, 44 RBIs and 57 runs scored. Rosario has a .282 average with 20 homers, 60 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 37 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 3.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.97.
Cleveland’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .309/.388/.590 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ offense has been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor. Santana is slashing .297/.416/.546 with 20 home runs, 53 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Lindor’s line is .292/.351/.503 with 14 homers, 32 RBIs, 45 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Twins have gained 14.0 units and are 36-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 5.7 units and are 29-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve cashed the under.
Twins vs. Indians Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just two of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- The Twins have won three of their last four games SU.
- The Minnesota defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
- The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Twins have an OPS of .834 this season and an OPS of .821 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .739 overall and .762 versus righties.
