Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

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The Cleveland Indians are prepared to battle against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be televising the matchup.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-205) is hosting this one as the favorite over Minnesota (+187) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Twins +1.5 runs (-115) and Indians -1.5 runs (-105).

The Twins are 61-69 SU and are 68-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 2.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 74-56 SU and 62-68 ATS. The team has lost 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.7 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

Indians games have an over/under record of 64-60-6 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 62-65-3.

Kyle Gibson will get the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Gibson is 7-10 with a 3.63 ERA and 149 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.80 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).

The Indians are turning to righty Carlos Carrasco (15-7, 3.55 ERA), who has 167 strikeouts and 29 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Carrasco is 1-3 with 29 strikeouts and a 4.56 ERA across five starts against Minnesota this year.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 57 games against AL Central opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

Cleveland’s hitters have put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.310/.399 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .286/.363/.530 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 106 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Brantley is batting .301 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 73 runs.

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.49 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.50, along with a K/9 of 9.23.

The Twins offense has slashed .245/.316/.405 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Rosario is slashing .289/.327/.483 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Mauer (.275/.352/.372) has produced five homers, 39 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 48-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 11.9 units and are 46-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 44 which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Minnesota has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Minnesota has averaged 19.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Twins have dropped four of their last five games SU.