Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will be taking the field against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in a Tuesday night game. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast this AL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Las Vegas has Toronto (+120) as the underdog to Minnesota (-130). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 8.5 runs scored, then Vegas is offering -130 odds. Playing the over will return +110 odds. This game currently has a runline of Twins -1.5 (+115) and Blue Jays +1.5 (-135).

The Twins are 21-12 SU and have gone 17-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 0.6 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 15-20 SU and 19-15 ATS. The team has lost 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.1 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 14-19-1 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 18-14.

Right-hander Jose Berrios is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. Berrios is 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven innings).

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the hands of righty Aaron Sanchez (3-2, 3.09 ERA), who’s got 29 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.49. Sanchez is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

Twins hitters have slashed .256/.326/.491 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s offensive production has been powered by Jorge Polanco and Nelson Cruz, who collectively have swatted 13 home runs. Polanco is slashing .317/.388/.610 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cruz (.304/.393/.588) has produced seven homers, 21 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.30 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Toronto offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .211/.284/.283 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis. Grichuk is slashing .256/.313/.436 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Galvis has produced a line of .279/.302/.451 with five homers, 13 RBIs and 14 runs.

The Twins have gained 10.5 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 7.3 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve cashed the under.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
  • Toronto has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.0 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit eight over their last 10.
  • The Twins have an OPS of .817 this season and an OPS of .812 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS stands at .660 overall and .667 versus righties.