Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will head south to face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. Fox Sports North will broadcast this AL matchup and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros Odds
Houston (-175) is the favorite over Minnesota (+165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Twins +1.5 (-135) and Astros -1.5 (+115).
The Twins are 12-7 SU and are 9-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having lost 0.1 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 13-8 SU and 9-11 ATS. The team’s gained 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.4 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Houston games have an over/under record of 7-13 thus far in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 11-7.
Right-hander Jake Odorizzi will get the start for the visiting Twins. Odorizzi is 1-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face Houston this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-1 record with a 5.06 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Astros will deploy righty Brad Peacock (2-0, 3.94 ERA) to the mound. Peacock has 15 strikeouts and three walks as well as a 0.81 WHIP. Peacock did not register a start against the Twins in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.43 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.54, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.49.
The Twins offense has slashed .274/.343/.508 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is slashing .362/.430/.652 with 25 hits, five RBIs and 12 runs scored. Rosario (.280/.325/.693) has produced 21 hits, nine homers, 20 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
For the home team, Houston’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.16 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.47, a WHIP of 0.94 and a K/9 of 10.3.
The Houston offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .263/.361/.537 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Jose Altuve and Michael Brantley have led the Astros’ offense so far. Altuve is hitting .296/.348/.617 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Brantley’s line sits at .304/.364/.481 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 4.0 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 2.2 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Twins at Astros Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Astros have dropped three of their last four games SU.
- Houston has posted 26.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
- The Twins have a total OPS of .852 this season and an OPS of .849 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .842 overall and .785 versus righties.
