The Minnesota Twins will do battle against their division rival Cleveland Indians in a Thursday showdown. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Cleveland (receiving -110 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite against Minnesota and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Twins +1.5 runs (-210) and Indians -1.5 runs (+175).
The Indians are 31-30 straight up (SU) and 27-33 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 9.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS. On the other hand, the Twins have gone 40-20 SU this year and are 36-23 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 21.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.7 units ATS.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 24-35-1 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 29-27-3.
The right-handed Jose Berrios will get the start for the visiting Twins. Berrios is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 72 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians will turn to righty Trevor Bauer (4-5, 3.76 ERA), who has 96 strikeouts and 37 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.17. Bauer is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.30 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 23 games against AL Central foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.90.
The Cleveland hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.292/.475 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the Indians’ hitters this year. Santana is hitting .285/.402/.505 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and Lindor’s line is .311/.383/.555 with 11 homers, 24 RBIs, 29 runs and seven stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.56 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.67, along with a K-per-9 of 9.78.
The Twins offense has slashed .272/.342/.510 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario, who collectively have blasted 28 home runs. Polanco is slashing .339/.404/.590 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs and 39 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .276/.309/.552 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 22.3 units and are 29-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 8.3 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 26 that went under.
Twins vs. Indians MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .853 this season and an OPS of .849 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .693 overall and .706 against righties.
- Minnesota has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
