The Baltimore Orioles will welcome the Minnesota Twins to Camden Yards in Game 1 of a doubleheader. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast this AL showdown and the action gets going at 4:05 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Las Vegas has Baltimore (+175) as the underdog to Minnesota (-185). The total currently stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. There’s a runline of Twins -1.5 (-130) and Orioles +1.5 (+110) for this matchup.
The Twins have gone 9-7 SU this year and are 8-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 0.2 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 8-12 SU and 8-12 ATS. The team has gained 5.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.0 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 13-7 thus far in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 9-7.
Jose Berrios is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Berrios (2-1, 2.30 ERA) has racked up 28 strikeouts in 27.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across nine innings).
The Orioles are going with righty Dan Straily (1-1, 10.24 ERA), who’s got two strikeouts and three walks as well as a 1.86 WHIP. Straily did not re a start against the Twins in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 9.57.
The Twins offense has slashed .265/.340/.466 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .400/.464/.717 with 24 hits, five RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Rosario (.262/.318/.607) has produced 16 hits, six homers, 16 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.34, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.7. The bullpen has a 6.52 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .230/.295/.374 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ hitters so far. Mancini is slashing .338/.393/.650 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Villar’s line is .268/.333/.427 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 14 runs.
The Twins have gained 2.0 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 4.5 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.
Twins vs. Orioles Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Minnesota defense has allowed zero errors over the last five games, compared to three errors for Baltimore over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Twins have a total OPS of .806 this season and an OPS of .787 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .675 overall and .662 versus righties.
