Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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The Baltimore Orioles are playing host to the Minnesota Twins at Oriole Park. Fox Sports North will be televising this AL showdown and the first pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (-200) as the favorite over Baltimore (+185). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Picking the over will return -110 odds. The game’s current runline odds sit at -140 for taking the Twins -1.5 runs and +120 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Twins have gone 9-7 SU this year and are 8-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 1.2 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 8-12 SU and 7-12 ATS. The team has gained 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.0 units ATS.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 12-7 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 8-7.

The right-handed Jose Berrios will get the start for Minnesota. Berrios is 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts over nine innings).

The Orioles will turn to righty Alex Cobb (0-0, 3.18 ERA), who has four strikeouts and one walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.06. Cobb only made one start against the Twins in 2018 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.34 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.52 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .230/.295/.374 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Trey Mancini has helped lead the Orioles’ offense this season with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.47, along with a K-per-9 of 9.57.

Twins hitters have slashed .265/.340/.466 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Jorge Polanco has led Minnesota’s offense thus far and is slashing .400/.464/.717 with 24 hits, five RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Twins just dropped a 7-4 game to the Blue Jays, while the Orioles are coming off of a 6-5 win against the Rays.

Twins vs. Orioles MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit nine over their last 10.
  • The Twins have a total OPS of .806 this season and an OPS of .787 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .675 overall and .662 against righties.
  • Minnesota has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.