The Minnesota Timberwolves (22-24) will travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to clash with the Phoenix Suns (11-37). The Suns opened as 6-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – North at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 22, 2019.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Odds
The Timberwolves won the most recent matchup 116-114 to even the season series at one. Towns recorded a double-double with 30 points and 12 rebounds. Minnesota made good use of their 40 trips to the charity stripe, making 32 of them (80.0 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, was just 22-32 (68.8 percent). The two teams combined for 230 points, which was just over the projected point total of 229.5, and Minnesota was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite.
Of the Timberwolves’ 46 games, 25 have finished over the projected point total. Minnesota heads into the contest with records of 22-24 straight up (SU) and 23-23 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Minnesota, a little over half of Suns games have finished under the total. Additionally, Phoenix is 11-37 SU and 22-26 ATS.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Phoenix offense. Phoenix ranks 29th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.0 percent), while the pesky defense of Minnesota forces the eighth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.6 percent).
Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Timberwolves rank 19th in rebounds per game (44.4) while the Suns rank 29th (40.2).
- Minnesota ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.4) while Phoenix ranks 27th (9.1).
- The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while the Timberwolves rank 21st (33.0).
- Minnesota ranks 12th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.9) while Phoenix ranks 28th (52.3).
- Minnesota averages 24.4 assists per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Phoenix ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
- The Timberwolves average 15.0 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Suns rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).
- The Timberwolves average 13.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Suns rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.9).
- Phoenix averages 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Minnesota ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
- Minnesota ranks seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3) while Phoenix ranks 29th (19.8).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Minnesota is 8-0 and Phoenix is 4-1.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Suns are 10-23 and the Timberwolves are 22-18.
- Minnesota is 9-13 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 11-13 ATS at home.
- The Timberwolves have 11 overs and 11 unders in 22 road games.
- In 24 home games, the Suns have 14 unders and 10 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Suns are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Minnesota has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.2 points per game (2.2 above their season average).
- The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 0.4 for the season.
