The Los Angeles Clippers (5-4) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-6) to Staples Center. The Timberwolves will attempt to put an end to a five-game road losing streak. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – North at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 5, 2018.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds
In the Clippers’ previous game, they easily covered the 3.5-point spread against the Orlando Magic, 120-95. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, were dismantled by the Portland Trail Blazers, 111-81, and failed to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game finished 4.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Minnesota game finished 51.5 points under the projected point total of 243.5.
Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.291 (above their season average of 0.290) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.8 (above their season average of 21.5). Orlando was 0.122 and 16.7, respectively, for those same stats. Minnesota, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (9.7 vs. 13.8). Los Angeles was lifted by Lou Williams, who recorded 28 points. Karl-Anthony Towns, meanwhile played well for Minnesota, putting up 23 points and five rebounds.
The Timberwolves dominated this series last year, securing victories in all four games. In the most recent matchup, Minnesota won 123-109. Minnesota’s 0.581 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Los Angeles, who had a rate of 0.473.
Of the Timberwolves’ nine games with betting action, five have finished over the projected point total. Minnesota heads into the contest with records of 4-6 straight up (SU) and 4-5 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Clippers also have a tendency to go over the total (55.6 percent). Moreover, Los Angeles is 5-4 SU and 5-4 ATS.
Towns has been solid as of late for Minnesota, averaging 19.2 points, 11.6 rebounds, 2.4 blocks and 1.4 steals over the last five games.
It could be an error-filled game for the Los Angeles offense. Since the 2017-18 season, Los Angeles ranks 21st in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.1 percent), while the pesky defense of Minnesota has forced the ninth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.4 percent).
Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Clippers rank 22nd in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while the Timberwolves rank 28th (16.9).
- Minnesota ranks first in steals per game (8.3) while Los Angeles ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- The Timberwolves rank seventh in fast break points per game (10.4) while the Clippers rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (15.4).
- Los Angeles ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (43.7) while Minnesota ranks 28th (42.8).
- Los Angeles ranks 10th in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Minnesota ranks 26th (30.7).
- The Clippers average 52.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Timberwolves rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.3).
- The Timberwolves rank fifth in blocks per game (4.4) while the Clippers rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
- Los Angeles ranks 19th in assists per game (22.3) while Minnesota ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (23.9).
- Los Angeles ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.7) while Minnesota ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
- When allowing below 100 points, Los Angeles is 15-2 and Minnesota is 20-4.
- The Timberwolves are 49-28 when they reach the century mark, while the Clippers are 45-30.
