Minnesota Timberwolves at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction 10/30/19

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The Philadelphia 76ers (3-0), 6.5-point favorites, welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-0) to Wells Fargo Center, where only one team will stay unbeaten. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223.5 points and it starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 30, 2019.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds

Both teams were victorious in their last game. The 76ers (5.5-point favorites) barely escaped the Atlanta Hawks 105-103, while the Timberwolves (7-point favorites) defeated the Miami Heat 116-109. The Philadelphia game went 13.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5, while the Minnesota game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.

Minnesota dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.275 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.2. Miami put up marks of 0.118 and 17.9, respectively, for those same stats. Philadelphia, on the other hand, dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.5 and a turnover percentage of 17.5. Atlanta had marks of 17.8 and 17.6, respectively, for those same stats. Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid had a solid performance, finishing with 36 points, 13 rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Karl-Anthony Towns played a key role for Minnesota with 23 points and 11 rebounds.

The 76ers dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent contest, Philadelphia won 118-109. Philadelphia had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.9 vs. 9.1). Minnesota, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (20-25; 80.0 percent).

The Timberwolves have had records of 39-46 straight up (SU) and 42-44-4 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Minnesota games have had a tendency to go over the projected point total since last season (55.6 percent).

Meanwhile, the 76ers, are 54-31 SU and 55-40 ATS since last season. Games involving Philadelphia have had a slight tendency to finish over the O/U total over that same stretch (49.5 percent).

When looking at effective field goal percentage, Philadelphia should have a substantial edge. Since last season, the 76ers defense ranks fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.508), while the Minnesota offense ranks 25th in effective field goal percentage (0.511). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Timberwolves. They rank 3rd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the 76ers have forced the first-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 11.9 percent).

Minnesota Timberwolves at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The 76ers rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (30.1) while the Timberwolves rank 25th (29.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (22.8) while Minnesota ranks 27th (26.1).
  • The 76ers rank sixth in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while the Timberwolves rank 27th (14.5).
  • Minnesota ranks eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (17.6).
  • Minnesota ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (49.7) while Philadelphia ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.1).
  • The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Timberwolves rank 27th (5.6).
  • The 76ers rank second in rebounds per game (47.9) while the Timberwolves rank 17th (45.0).
  • Minnesota ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd (7.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Minnesota is 13-1 and Philadelphia is 15-1.
  • The 76ers are 60-25 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 38-39.