Milwaukee Bucks vs. Washington Wizards ATS Prediction 02/02/19

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The league’s top shooting defense will be a 6.5-point favorite on the road at Capital One Arena, when the Milwaukee Bucks (37-13) take on the Washington Wizards (22-29). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 229 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.

Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Wizards (1-point favorites) defeated the Indiana Pacers 107-89, while the Bucks (2.5-point underdog) beat the Toronto Raptors 105-92. The Washington game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 218.5, while the Milwaukee game went 35.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5.

Milwaukee played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.165 (below their season average of 0.191) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.582 (above their season average of 0.553). Toronto was 0.118 and 0.435, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Washington’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Indiana. The Wizards had a rate of 0.603 (above their season average of 0.528), while the Pacers posted a mark of 0.446 (below their season average of 0.532). Washington rallied around Bradley Beal, who had 25 points, six rebounds and six assists. Giannis Antetokounmpo, meanwhile had a good outing for Milwaukee, contributing 19 points, nine rebounds and five assists.

In their first matchup this year, Beal led the Wizards to a 113-106 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 32 points. The two teams combined to put up 219 points, which was under the projected point total of 227.5, and Washington covered as a 2-point underdog. Washington’s 0.183 free throw rate was their largest strength over Milwaukee, who had a rate of 0.146.

Of the Bucks’ 50 games, 27 have finished under the O/U total. Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 37-13 straight up (SU) and 28-20-2 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Wizards’ 51 games, 29 have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Washington owns records of 22-29 SU and 22-28-1 ATS.

It might be a tough matchup for Washington on the offensive glass. The Wizards rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.8 percent), while Milwaukee ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (80.7 percent). Additionally, the Bucks’ fifth-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 111.6) will attempt to exploit the Wizards’ 24th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 110.1).

Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Wizards rank 16th (7.6).
  • Milwaukee averages 48.8 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Washington ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.8).
  • The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Wizards rank 21st (4.7).
  • Milwaukee averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Washington ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.5) while Washington ranks 19th (49.9).
  • The Bucks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Wizards rank 25th (14.5).
  • The Wizards average 33.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Bucks rank last in three pointers allowed per game (35.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Washington ranks 15th (16.9).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while Washington ranks 21st (14.5).
  • Milwaukee is 12-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Washington is 8-0.
  • The Wizards are 21-24 when they score more than 100 points, while the Bucks are 37-10.
  • Milwaukee is 12-10-2 ATS on the road, while Washington is 15-8-1 ATS at home.
  • The Bucks have 14 unders and 10 overs in 24 road games.
  • The Wizards have 15 overs and 9 unders in 24 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Wizards are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Washington has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 2.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (3.3 below their season average).