Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors Free Prediction 05/21/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Milwaukee Bucks (2-1), 2.5-point favorites, will travel to Scotiabank Arena to meet the Toronto Raptors (1-2) in game four of the Eastern Conference Finals. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points and action starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 21, 2019.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

In game three, Leonard led the Raptors to a 118-112 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 36 points. Toronto covered as a 2.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 230 points, which was over the projected point total of 222. The Raptors’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Bucks. Toronto had a rate of 13.0, while Milwaukee posted a mark of 14.6.

Bucks games have finished over the O/U total 51.1 percent of the time. Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 70-24 straight up (SU) and 57-34-3 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Milwaukee, games including the Raptors have a slight tendency to finish over the total (51.5 percent). Further, Toronto is 67-30 SU and 45-50-2 ATS.

The Raptors are 3-6-1 with five overs and five unders in the playoffs. The Bucks, meanwhile, are 3-3 ATS with four unders and two overs

Points could be at a premium in this battle between two of the NBA’s premier defenses. Toronto currently ranks third in defensive efficiency (104.2) and Milwaukee is first (102.6).

Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks average 25.9 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Raptors rank 13th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • Toronto ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.8) while Milwaukee ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (36.2).
  • The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Raptors rank 14th (7.4).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.4) while Toronto ranks 13th (13.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Toronto ranks 11th (15.7).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (50.2) while the Raptors rank 19th (44.8).
  • The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Raptors rank ninth (5.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while Toronto ranks 11th (12.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (52.7) while Toronto ranks 19th (47.4).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Toronto is 22-2 and Milwaukee is 23-1.
  • The Bucks are 69-19 when they reach 100 points, while the Raptors are 62-22.
  • Milwaukee is 28-16-2 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 23-25-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 24 of the Bucks’ 46 road games, while 25 of the Raptors’ 49 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Toronto has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 114.8 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (5.8 below their season average).
  • The Raptors have been outscored by an average of 6.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Toronto has defeated opponents by an average of 5.8 points.