Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction 01/10/20

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The NBA’s top scoring team will be on the road at Golden 1 Center, when the Milwaukee Bucks (33-6) go head-to-head with the Sacramento Kings (15-23). The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, January 10, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds

In the Kings’ last game, they were victorious over the Phoenix Suns, 114-103, despite being 6.5-point underdogs. The Bucks, on the other hand, defeated the Golden State Warriors, 107-98, but failed to cover as 14-point favorites. The Sacramento game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5, while the Milwaukee game went 14 points under the projected point total of 219.

The Bucks forced 18 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.322 (above their season average of 0.194). The Kings, meanwhile, knocked down 25 of their 28 free throws (89.3 percent), while the Suns had a turnover percentage of 16.4 (above their season average of 12.1). Sacramento’s De’Aaron Fox had a solid performance, contributing 27 points and six assists. Meanwhile, Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who finished with 30 points and 13 rebounds.

The Bucks dominated this series last year, securing victories in both games. In the most recent contest, Milwaukee won 141-140. Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Sacramento. The Bucks had a rate of 0.558 while the Kings posted a mark of 0.500. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Of the Bucks’ 39 games, 20 have finished over the O/U total. Milwaukee holds records of 33-6 straight up (SU) and 21-18 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to set the total high when the Kings are involved, as 57.9 percent of their games have finished under the total. Additionally, Sacramento owns records of 15-23 SU and 20-18 ATS.

The ineffective offense of Sacramento will square off against the stingy defense of Milwaukee. The Kings currently rank 21st in offensive efficiency, while the Bucks are first in defensive efficiency. The Bucks should have the edge on that end of the court. It will also be a tale of two paces as the up-tempo Bucks rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Kings rank 27th.

Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings ATS Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Kings rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.4) while Sacramento ranks 27th (42.4).
  • The Bucks rank third in blocks per game (6.4) while the Kings rank 23rd (4.5).
  • Sacramento averages 33.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Milwaukee ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (38.4).
  • Milwaukee averages 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Sacramento ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
  • The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (51.1) while the Kings rank 27th (43.7).
  • The Bucks average 25.9 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Kings rank 19th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
  • Milwaukee leads the NBA with 10.9 second chance points allowed per game while Sacramento is fourth with 11.8 second chance points allowed per game.
  • Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (18.7) while Sacramento ranks 22nd (11.7).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Sacramento is 7-2 and Milwaukee is 9-0.
  • The Bucks are 33-6 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 14-16.
  • Sacramento is 7-11 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 10-9 ATS on the road.
  • In 19 road games, the Bucks have 10 overs and 9 unders.
  • The Kings have 11 unders and 7 overs in 18 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (4.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 11.8 for the season.