The league’s top scoring team will be a 7-point favorite on the road at United Center, when the Milwaukee Bucks (9-3) meet the Chicago Bulls (4-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 18, 2019.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Odds
In the Bucks’ last contest, they won big over the Indiana Pacers, 102-83, easily covering as 7.5-point favorites. The Bulls, on the other hand, were beaten by the Brooklyn Nets, 117-111, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game finished 35.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Chicago game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.
Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Indiana. The Bucks had a rate of 0.505 (below their season average of 0.549), while the Pacers posted a mark of 0.380 (below their season average of 0.518). Chicago, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.7 (above their season average of 20.7). Chicago rallied around Wendell Carter Jr., who recorded 18 points and 14 rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo played a pivotal role for Milwaukee with 26 points, 13 rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 124-115 victory. He registered a double-double with 38 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 239 points, which was over the projected point total of 228.5, and Milwaukee was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Milwaukee’s biggest strengths. They made 47 trips to the line, while Chicago went just 25 times.
Games featuring the Bucks have typically finished over the projected point total (58.3 percent). Milwaukee holds records of 9-3 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Bulls games have finished over the O/U total. Further, Chicago owns records of 4-9 SU and 6-7 ATS.
The ineffective offense of Chicago (28th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 101.8) will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Milwaukee (fourth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 99.9). The Bucks figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while the Bulls rank 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (52.5) while Chicago ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (49.5).
- The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (37.0) while the Bulls rank 23rd (51.2).
- Chicago ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.5) while Milwaukee ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (39.5).
- Milwaukee ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.3) while Chicago ranks 16th (13.7).
- The Bucks rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Bulls rank 25th (6.7).
- The Bulls rank second in steals per game (9.8) while the Bucks rank 16th (7.4).
- Milwaukee ranks 15th in assists per game (23.9) while Chicago ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
- Milwaukee averages 18.7 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. Chicago ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (16.2).
- Milwaukee is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Chicago is 1-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Bulls are 4-5 and the Bucks are 9-3.
- Chicago is 3-3 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 4-4 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Bulls’ 6 home games, while 4 of the Bucks’ 8 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Milwaukee and Chicago have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Bulls are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (2.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (0.4 below their season average).
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, down from 9.1 for the season.
