Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets ATS Prediction 01/24/20

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Milwaukee Bucks (39-6) clash against the Charlotte Hornets (15-30) at AccorHotels Arena. The Bucks opened as 13.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points and it will air on NBATV at 3 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Bucks (15.5-point favorites) defeated the Chicago Bulls, 111-98, while the Hornets (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Orlando Magic, 106-83. The Milwaukee game went 16.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5, while the Charlotte game went 16 points under the projected point total of 205.

Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Chicago. The Bucks had a rate of 0.656 (above their season average of 0.556), while the Bulls posted a mark of 0.446 (below their season average of 0.507). Charlotte, on the other hand, did a terrific job of converting from the free throw line (15-20; 75.0 percent). Charlotte was led by Malik Monk, who recorded 20 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo, meanwhile played an enormous role in the victory for Milwaukee, racking up 28 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists on his way to his third triple-double this season.

In their first matchup this year, Robin Lopez led the Bucks to a 137-96 win. He put up 13 points and six rebounds. Milwaukee covered as a 14-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 226. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Hornets. Milwaukee had a rate of 6.4, while Charlotte posted a mark of 10.3.

Of the Bucks’ 45 games, 23 have finished under the projected point total. Milwaukee holds records of 39-6 straight up (SU) and 25-20 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Milwaukee, games involving the Hornets have a slight tendency to go over the projected point total (51.1 percent). Moreover, Charlotte is 15-30 SU and 21-22-2 ATS.

Charlotte might struggle to put up points as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Milwaukee ranks first in defensive efficiency while the Hornets rank 23rd in offensive efficiency. It will also be a showdown of conflicting styles as the quick-paced Bucks rank first in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Hornets rank 30th.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 16th in steals per game (7.7) while the Hornets rank 27th (6.6).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.7) while Charlotte ranks 27th (42.6).
  • The Bucks rank first in fast break points per game (18.8) while the Hornets rank 24th (11.7).
  • Charlotte ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (34.6) while Milwaukee ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (39.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Charlotte ranks 19th (13.3).
  • The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.3) while the Hornets rank 26th (51.6).
  • The Bucks rank third in blocks per game (6.3) while the Hornets rank 22nd (4.3).
  • Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Charlotte ranks 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
  • Milwaukee averages 26.0 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Charlotte ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.0).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Charlotte is 3-0 and Milwaukee is 11-0.
  • The Hornets are 13-16 when they reach the century mark, while the Bucks are 39-6.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Milwaukee and Charlotte have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 2-3.
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 17.0, up from 12.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 93.0 points per game (10.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (4.5 below their season average).